Head to head · 2026 pitching
Sonny Gray vs Merrill Kelly
In 2026 Sonny Gray has been worth 3.7 more wins. Both lines are computed from play-by-play on the same constants, so they are measured the same way rather than quoted from two sources.
2026 season
| Statistic | Sonny Gray | Merrill Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| G | 29 | 29 |
| GS | 29 | 29 |
| IP | 169.0 | 162.0 |
| W | 18 | 10 |
| SO | 149 | 113 |
| ERA | 2.72 | 4.94 |
| FIP | 3.48 | 5.33 |
| WHIP | 1.15 | 1.46 |
| K/9 | 7.9 | 6.3 |
| BB/9 | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| FIP− | 83 | 127 |
| WAR | 3.5 | -0.2 |
Postseason
Box-score figures only: October is kept out of the season constants, so there is no wOBA, FIP or dbWAR for it.
| Statistic | Sonny Gray | Merrill Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| G | 7 | 4 |
| GS | 7 | 4 |
| IP | 35.0 | 24.0 |
| W | 1 | 3 |
| SV | 0 | 0 |
| SO | 35 | 28 |
| BB | 15 | 8 |
| ERA | 3.34 | 2.25 |
| WHIP | 1.37 | 0.83 |
| K/9 | 9.0 | 10.5 |
| BB/9 | 3.9 | 3.0 |
Career
Totalled over the seasons published here, which is not the same as a whole career: a player who debuted before 2005 begins at 2005, not at his real first game.
| Statistic | Sonny Gray | Merrill Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| G | 368 | 201 |
| GS | 359 | 201 |
| IP | 2,087.0 | 1,170.1 |
| W | 143 | 75 |
| L | 107 | 67 |
| SV | 0 | 0 |
| SO | 2,074 | 1,024 |
| BB | 667 | 370 |
| ERA | 3.51 | 3.93 |
| WHIP | 1.19 | 1.23 |
| K/9 | 8.9 | 7.9 |
| BB/9 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| HR/9 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| WAR | 40.4 | 15.1 |
More head to heads
The same seasons, measured against somebody else.
FIP uses the constant solved from this season’s own runs, and FIP− is park-adjusted against the same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page. To put these two beside a third, the comparison page takes up to four.

