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Carl Pavano headshot

Players · P · Pitcher · 2012 regular season

Carl Pavano

Age
36
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 5"
Weight
265 lb
Number
#45
Born
January 8, 1976 in New Britain, CT, United States
MLB debut
May 23, 1998

Compare with…

dbWAR
8.7
Regular season, 2005–2012 only
IP
63.0
ERA
6.00
FIP
4.38
K/9
4.7
FIP−
109
100 = avg

Carl Pavano was a starting pitcher for the Minnesota Twins. In 2012 he struck out 33 batters over 63.0 innings across 11 appearances, 11 of them starts, going 2-5. His ERA of 6.00 was 49.4% higher than the league average of 4.01 — 18th of 20 on his team, and 440th of 484 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 4.38 FIP suggests he pitched better than his ERA shows. He missed bats on 14.9% of swings (7.2% of every pitch he threw), walked 3.0% of the batters he faced and struck out 12.3%. His 0.5 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2012 regular season.

FIP4.38
K/94.7
WHIP1.40
WAR.5

WAR by season

2.81.40.005070809101112

Pitching Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only — postseason games are listed separately below. Seasons on file run 2005–2012; his career began in 1998, and earlier seasons are not in this data yet.

Trend
2012MIN111163.025080423386.004.381.404.71.11491090.5
2011MIN3333222.09130262106102404.304.101.364.11.61091042.0
2010MIN3232221.01711022792117373.754.021.194.81.592982.7
2009CLE/MIN3333199.114120235113147395.104.001.376.61.8118922.8
2008NYY7734.1420412215105.775.371.493.92.61331240.0
2007NYY2211.1100126424.764.211.243.21.6107940.2
2005NYY1717100.04601295356184.774.891.475.01.61111140.5

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only — postseason games are listed separately below. Seasons on file run 2005–2012; his career began in 1998, and earlier seasons are not in this data yet.

Trend
2012MIN12000001.000.000.000.000.0000.0%50.0%.000-0.5-118-0.0
2011MIN26000004.000.000.000.000.0000.0%66.7%.000-1.5-122-0.1
2010MIN28300002.500.500.500.000.7500.0%25.0%.449+0.81870.2
2009CLE12000000.000.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%.000-0.5-132-0.0
2005NYY37000004.000.000.000.000.0000.0%57.1%.000-1.9-124-0.1

Separate from the regular season

Postseason Postseason

Wild Card through World Series. These games are counted on their own: none of them are in the regular-season tables, career totals, league context, leaderboards or dbWAR on this page.

Postseason pitching

Postseason Carl Pavano's postseason pitching, by October and round. Not part of any regular-season figure on this page.
SeasonTeamRoundGGSIPWLSVHERHRBBSOERAWHIPK/9
2010 PostMINALDS116.00101041136.001.834.5
2009 PostMINALDS117.0010522092.570.7111.6
2005–2012Postseason total · 2 Octobers2213.002015631124.151.238.3

Box-score and rate statistics only. wOBA, wRC+, FIP and dbWAR are measured against a full league season, and a postseason is a few teams playing each other for a month, so they are not computed for October.

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2012. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB145138446518.319.345.529.37612.4%
vs RHB123118363315.305.328.483.35112.2%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2012.

Loading 1 batted balls…

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2012.

Pitch sequencing

What Carl Pavano throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
SinkerChangeupSplitterSliderFour-seamPO

Select a count to see exactly what Carl Pavano throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Sinker50.8%46586.91,85440.4%7.2%139.360.960
Changeup22.8%20978.51,23251.7%26.1%57.193.561
Splitter13.3%12282.91,24637.7%26.9%34.294.853
Slider7.3%6781.991438.8%13.2%20.400.850
Four-Seam Fastball4.3%3986.41,87435.9%0.0%7——
Carl Pavano's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

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Carl Pavano

Similar players

Nearest 2012 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.