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Don Kelly headshot

Players · K · 1B · 2016 regular season

Don Kelly

Age
36
B/T
L/R
Height
6' 4"
Weight
215 lb
Number
#32
Born
February 15, 1980 in Butler, PA, United States
MLB debut
April 2, 2007

Compare with…

dbWAR
-.8
Regular season, 10 season(s)
PA
30
AVG
.148
OBP
.200
SLG
.296
wRC+
28
100 = avg

Don Kelly was a first baseman for the Miami Marlins. In 2016 he hit 0 home runs and knocked in 3 RBIs, notching 4 hits across 30 plate appearances in 11 games. His batting average was .148, 42.0% lower than the league average of .255. He reached base at a .200 clip and slugged .296, for an OPS of .496, 32.8% lower than the league mark of .739. He averaged 84.0 mph off the bat, hit 10.0% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 90.6% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 28 wRC+ puts his offence 72% below average. That comes to -0.3 dbWAR — -2.6 runs with the bat, +0.1 for the ballpark, -0.0 on the bases, -0.6 on double plays, -0.4 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2016 regular season.

wRC+28
wOBA.213
ISO.148
BB%6.7%
WAR-.3

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2016. These terms sum to -2.7 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting-2.6Ballpark+0.1Baserunning-0.0Double plays-0.6Position-0.4Replacement+0.8
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

0.2-0.1-0.5070910111213141516

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only — postseason games are listed separately below.

Trend
2016MIA1130403025.148.200.296.148.1746.7%16.7%.213-2.628-0.3
2015MIA11000000.000.000.000.000.0000.0%0.0%.000-0.3-125-0.0
2014DET69185400762029.245.332.288.043.29910.8%15.7%.289-3.582-0.0
2013DET1012514862322728.222.309.343.120.22610.8%11.2%.295-4.3810.2
2012DET53127211721422.186.276.248.062.22211.0%17.3%.245-7.348-0.5
2011DET942816372821432.245.291.381.136.2565.0%11.4%.301-4.2850.1
2010DET91251589273842.244.272.374.130.2593.2%16.7%.287-7.674-0.1
2009DET256214031410.250.311.339.089.3046.5%16.1%.296-1.974-0.0
2007PIT2332400033.148.281.148.000.1679.4%9.4%.227-2.927-0.2

Pitching Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only — postseason games are listed separately below.

Trend
2011DET100.100000000.003.030.000.00.00770.0—

Separate from the regular season

Postseason Postseason

Wild Card through World Series. These games are counted on their own: none of them are in the regular-season tables, career totals, league context, leaderboards or dbWAR on this page.

Postseason batting

Postseason Don Kelly's postseason batting, by October and round. Not part of any regular-season figure on this page.
SeasonTeamRoundGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2014 PostDETALDS122010000011.500.500.5001.000
2013 PostDETPostseason total61411020000330.182.357.182.539
ALDS275020000210.400.571.400.971
ALCS476000000120.000.143.000.143
2012 PostDETPostseason total321200001010.000.000.000.000
ALDS110100001000—.000——
ALCS100100000000————
World Series111000000010.000.000.000.000
2011 PostDETPostseason total92020361012040.300.300.500.800
ALDS41111340012040.364.364.6361.000
ALCS599021000000.222.222.333.556
CareerPostseason total · 4 Octobers193834591013391.265.316.382.698

Box-score and rate statistics only. wOBA, wRC+, FIP and dbWAR are measured against a full league season, and a postseason is a few teams playing each other for a month, so they are not computed for October.

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2016. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP220001.000.000.000.00050.0%
vs RHP28254024.160.214.320.22814.3%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2016.

Loading 21 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 20 tracked batted balls in 2016. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
0.0%
0 barrels
Exit velocity
84.0
mph average
Max exit velo
104.2
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
10.0%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
45.0%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
6.1°
average
Barrel rate0.0%
Exit velocity84.0 mph
Hard hit rate10.0%
Contact rate90.6%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2016.

—————3 AB—1 AB—2 AB—1 AB—2 AB——5 AB—3 AB—1 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .255.

Situational hitting

How Don Kelly hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations30——————.148.200.296.213
Bases empty · thin151430012.214.267.357.271
Runner on first · thin4400000.000.000.000.000
Runners on · thin151310313.077.133.231.154
RISP · thin11910313.111.182.333.210

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Rows under 25 plate appearances are marked thin — at that size a rate moves several dozen points on one hit. Counted from play-by-play, 2016.

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Don Kelly
How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.