DataBaseball
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Elian Herrera headshot

3B · 2015

Elian Herrera

Age
30
B/T
S/R
Height
5' 11"
Weight
205 lb
Number
#3
Born
February 1, 1985 in San Pedro de Macoris, Dominican Republic
MLB debut
May 15, 2012
dbWAR
.6
1 season(s)
PA
277
AVG
.242
OBP
.290
SLG
.395
wRC+
85
100 = avg

Elian Herrera is a third baseman for the Milwaukee Brewers. In 2015 he hit 7 home runs and knocked in 33 RBIs, notching 62 hits across 277 plate appearances in 81 games. His batting average was .242, 4.8% lower than the league average of .254. He reached base at a .290 clip and slugged .395, for an OPS of .684, 5.1% lower than the league mark of .721 — 10th of 18 on his team, and 287th of 445 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 85.0 mph off the bat, hit 28.3% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 2.4% of them and made contact on 75.3% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 85 wRC+ puts his offence 15% below average. That comes to 0.6 dbWAR — -3.9 runs with the bat, +0.1 on the bases, +0.6 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2015.

wRC+85
wOBA.299
ISO.152
BB%6.5%
WAR.6

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2015. These four terms sum to +6.0 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting-3.9Baserunning+0.1Position+0.6Replacement+9.2
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2015812776273331872.242.290.395.152.3076.5%26.0%.299-3.9850.6

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2015. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP8582173321.207.235.390.27224.7%
vs RHP1921744541551.259.314.397.31126.6%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2015.

Loading 182 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 166 tracked batted balls in 2015. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
2.4%
4 barrels
Exit velocity
85.0
mph average
Max exit velo
107.0
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
28.3%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
42.2%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
15.5°
average
Barrel rate2.4%
Exit velocity85.0 mph
Hard hit rate28.3%
Contact rate75.3%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2015.

.273.079.194.3339 AB.31316 AB.20010 AB.22722 AB.33324 AB.40025 AB.26123 AB.19021 AB.31822 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .254.

Situational hitting

How Elian Herrera hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations277.242.290.395.299
Bases empty15914632331342.219.283.349.283
Runner on first51481625312.333.373.500.381
Runners on11811030430530.273.299.455.321
RISP676214225218.226.242.419.274

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2015.

Head to head

Put Elian Herrera beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Elian Herrera

Similar players

Nearest 2015 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.