Players · C · Pitcher · 2012 regular season

Joel Carreño

Age: 25
B/T: R/R
Height: 6' 2"
Weight: 255 lb
Number: #34

Born: March 7, 1987 in San Cristobal, Dominican Republic
MLB debut: August 23, 2011

dbWAR: -.5
IP: 22.0
ERA: 6.14
FIP: 7.69
K/9: 6.5
FIP−: 191

Joel Carreño was a relief pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays. In 2012 he struck out 16 batters over 22.0 innings across 11 appearances, going 0-2. His ERA of 6.14 was 52.8% higher than the league average of 4.01 — 15th of 17 on his team, and 448th of 484 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 7.69 FIP suggests that his ERA had some help behind him. He missed bats on 23.3% of swings (9.6% of every pitch he threw), walked 14.4% of the batters he faced and struck out 16.5%. His -0.8 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2012 regular season.

FIP7.69

K/96.5

WHIP1.64

WAR-.8

WAR by season

Pitching Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only.

																				Trend
2012	TOR	11	2	22.0	0	2	0	22	15	16	14	6.14	7.69	1.64	6.5	5.7	153	191	-0.8
2011	TOR	11	0	15.2	1	0	0	11	2	14	4	1.15	2.83	0.96	8.0	2.3	29	72	0.3

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only.

																					Trend
2012	TOR	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	0.0%	0.0%	.000	-0.2	-119	-0.0	—

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Season

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2012. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHB	50	39	9	2	11	7	.231	.400	.410	.370	14.0%
vs RHB	48	45	13	5	3	9	.289	.333	.733	.453	18.8%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2012.

Loading 1 batted balls…

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2012.

Below averageLeague averageAbove average

Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .254.

Pitch sequencing

What Joel Carreño throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter

Four-seamSliderSinkerChangeup

Select a count to see exactly what Joel Carreño throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Season


Four-Seam Fastball	42.0%	162	91.1	1,391	49.4%	18.5%	26	.346	1.346
Slider	40.7%	157	80.8	1,097	40.8%	30.8%	42	.190	.768
Sinker	10.9%	42	91.5	1,749	33.3%	9.5%	12	—	—
Changeup	6.2%	24	83.7	1,537	25.0%	37.5%	5	—	—

Joel Carreño's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

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Joel Carreño

Similar players

Nearest 2012 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

Alex HinshawSD

ERA: 6.04
FIP: 6.66
SO: 36
WAR: -0.8

Comparable

Armando GalarragaHOU

ERA: 6.75
FIP: 7.43
SO: 17
WAR: -0.7

Loosely similar

Brooks RaleyCHC

ERA: 8.14
FIP: 6.88
SO: 16
WAR: -0.5

Loosely similar

Tyler ThornburgMIL

ERA: 4.50
FIP: 7.09
SO: 20
WAR: -0.6

Loosely similar

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.