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Justin Smoak headshot

Players · S · 1B · 2020 regular season

Justin Smoak

Age
34
B/T
S/L
Height
6' 4"
Weight
220 lb
Number
#17
Born
December 5, 1986 in Goose Creek, SC, United States
MLB debut
April 23, 2010

Compare with…

dbWAR
7.8
Regular season, 11 season(s)
PA
132
AVG
.176
OBP
.250
SLG
.361
wRC+
62
100 = avg

Justin Smoak was a first baseman for the Milwaukee Brewers. In 2020 he hit 5 home runs and knocked in 15 RBIs, notching 21 hits across 132 plate appearances in 36 games. His batting average was .176, 27.9% lower than the league average of .245. He reached base at a .250 clip and slugged .361, for an OPS of .611, 17.3% lower than the league mark of .740 — 9th of 12 on his team, and 273rd of 310 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 89.6 mph off the bat, hit 39.7% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 3.8% of them and made contact on 68.6% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 62 wRC+ puts his offence 38% below average. That comes to -0.5 dbWAR — -6.3 runs with the bat, -0.0 for the ballpark, -0.1 on the bases, -1.0 on double plays, -1.8 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2020 regular season.

wRC+62
wOBA.266
ISO.185
BB%7.6%
WAR-.5

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2020. These terms sum to -4.9 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting-6.3Ballpark-0.0Baserunning-0.1Double plays-1.0Position-1.8Replacement+4.3
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

3.41.5-0.51011121314151617181920

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only — postseason games are listed separately below.

Trend
2020MIL/SF361322151501042.176.250.361.185.2197.6%31.8%.266-6.362-0.5
2019TOR121500862261079106.208.342.406.198.22315.8%21.2%.327+2.01020.5
2018TOR1435941222577083156.242.350.457.216.29714.0%26.3%.353+16.91262.4
2017TOR1566371513890073128.270.355.529.259.28511.5%20.1%.375+27.01373.4
2016TOR98341651434140112.217.314.391.174.29511.7%32.8%.313-2.4900.0
2015TOR10732867185902986.226.299.470.243.2548.8%26.2%.335+4.71160.9
2014SEA722765073002466.202.275.339.137.2438.7%23.9%.280-7.080-0.5
2013SEA1285211082050064119.238.334.412.174.27812.3%22.8%.336+7.21131.3
2012SEA1305351051951149111.217.290.364.147.2429.2%20.7%.292-11.489-0.3
2011SEA1234891001555055105.234.323.396.162.27311.2%21.5%.321+0.31040.7
2010TEX/SEA10039776134814691.218.307.371.152.25511.6%22.9%.305-6.584-0.1

Separate from the regular season

Postseason Postseason

Wild Card through World Series. These games are counted on their own: none of them are in the regular-season tables, career totals, league context, leaderboards or dbWAR on this page.

Postseason batting

Postseason Justin Smoak's postseason batting, by October and round. Not part of any regular-season figure on this page.
SeasonTeamRoundGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2016 PostTORPostseason total222000000020.000.000.000.000
Wild Card111000000010.000.000.000.000
ALCS111000000010.000.000.000.000
2015 PostTORPostseason total588000000030.000.000.000.000
ALDS366000000030.000.000.000.000
ALCS222000000000.000.000.000.000
CareerPostseason total · 2 Octobers71010000000050.000.000.000.000

Box-score and rate statistics only. wOBA, wRC+, FIP and dbWAR are measured against a full league season, and a postseason is a few teams playing each other for a month, so they are not computed for October.

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2020. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP26244023.167.231.250.21911.5%
vs RHP10695175839.179.255.389.27836.8%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2020.

Loading 77 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 78 tracked batted balls in 2020. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
3.8%
3 barrels
Exit velocity
89.6
mph average
Max exit velo
107.0
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
39.7%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
33.3%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
15.3°
average
Barrel rate3.8%
Exit velocity89.6 mph
Hard hit rate39.7%
Contact rate68.6%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2020.

——.000.071—0 AB—5 AB—3 AB—7 AB.26319 AB.00010 AB.09111 AB.40020 AB.14314 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .244.

Situational hitting

How Justin Smoak hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations132——————.176.250.361.266
Bases empty86771233725.156.244.325.254
Runner on first · thin202062609.300.300.700.408
Runners on46429212317.214.261.429.290
RISP262230638.136.231.182.199

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Rows under 25 plate appearances are marked thin — at that size a rate moves several dozen points on one hit. Counted from play-by-play, 2020.

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Justin Smoak

Similar players

Nearest 2020 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.