DataBaseball
2026
Ezequiel Carrera headshot

LF · 2017

Ezequiel Carrera

Age
30
B/T
L/L
Height
5' 11"
Weight
185 lb
Number
#12
Born
June 11, 1987 in Guiria, Venezuela
MLB debut
May 20, 2011
dbWAR
1.6
3 season(s)
PA
325
AVG
.282
OBP
.356
SLG
.408
wRC+
111
100 = avg

Ezequiel Carrera was a left fielder for the Toronto Blue Jays. In 2017 he hit 8 home runs and knocked in 20 RBIs, notching 81 hits across 325 plate appearances in 102 games. His batting average was .282, 10.7% higher than the league average of .255. He reached base at a .356 clip and slugged .408, for an OPS of .764, 1.8% higher than the league mark of .750 — the third best on his team, and 178th of 435 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 83.8 mph off the bat, hit 32.0% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 3.3% of them and made contact on 76.8% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 111 wRC+ puts his offence 11% above average. That comes to 1.2 dbWAR — +3.5 runs with the bat, +1.3 on the bases, -3.8 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2017.

wRC+111
wOBA.337
ISO.125
BB%9.2%
WAR1.2

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2017. These four terms sum to +11.9 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting+3.5Baserunning+1.3Position-3.8Replacement+10.8
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

1.20.60.0151617

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
201710232581820103075.282.356.408.125.3589.2%23.1%.337+3.51111.2
2016883106762372770.248.323.356.107.3118.7%22.6%.303-4.5840.2
2015731924732621145.273.321.372.099.3495.7%23.4%.307-1.4960.3

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2017. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP423530610.086.220.114.17823.8%
vs RHP2832527882465.310.376.448.36123.0%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2017.

Loading 207 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 181 tracked batted balls in 2017. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
3.3%
6 barrels
Exit velocity
83.8
mph average
Max exit velo
106.7
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
32.0%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
37.6%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
5.6°
average
Barrel rate3.3%
Exit velocity83.8 mph
Hard hit rate32.0%
Contact rate76.8%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2017.

.263.200.176.063.44418 AB.38918 AB.23517 AB.22722 AB.43330 AB.20030 AB.29224 AB.43832 AB.17617 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .254.

Situational hitting

How Ezequiel Carrera hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations325.282.356.408.337
Bases empty19618054661452.300.357.450.351
Runner on first66551614710.291.371.382.337
Runners on129107272141623.252.355.336.316
RISP635211110913.212.339.288.294

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2017.

Head to head

Put Ezequiel Carrera beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Ezequiel Carrera

Similar players

Nearest 2017 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.