Players · N · Pitcher · 2017

Justin Nicolino

Age: 26
B/T: L/L
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 195 lb
Number: #60

Born: November 22, 1991 in Orlando, FL, United States
MLB debut: June 20, 2015

dbWAR: -.2
IP: 48.0
ERA: 5.06
FIP: 5.55
K/9: 4.9
FIP−: 127

Justin Nicolino was a relief pitcher for the Miami Marlins. In 2017 he struck out 26 batters over 48.0 innings across 20 appearances, going 2-3. His ERA of 5.06 was 16.2% higher than the league average of 4.36 — 16th of 22 on his team, and 381st of 527 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 5.55 FIP suggests that his ERA had some help behind him. He missed bats on 15.3% of swings (6.9% of every pitch he threw), walked 8.7% of the batters he faced and struck out 11.4%. His -0.3 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2017.

FIP5.55

K/94.9

WHIP1.79

WAR-.3

WAR by season

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.


2017	MIA	20	8	48.0	2	3	66	27	26	20	5.06	5.55	1.79	4.9	3.8	116	127	-0.3
2016	MIA	18	13	79.1	3	6	96	44	37	20	4.99	4.39	1.46	4.2	2.3	119	105	0.5
2015	MIA	12	12	74.0	5	4	72	33	23	20	4.01	4.85	1.24	2.8	2.4	101	122	0.0

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.


2017	MIA	9	13	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	0.0%	15.4%	.000	-3.5	-127	-0.2
2016	MIA	13	24	2	1	11	.091	.130	.091	.000	.182	4.2%	45.8%	.107	-4.1	-48	-0.1
2015	MIA	12	27	1	0	8	.040	.040	.040	.000	.059	0.0%	29.6%	.035	-6.0	-100	-0.3

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Season

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2017. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHB	60	58	23	2	2	5	.397	.417	.569	.418	8.3%
vs RHB	169	146	43	6	18	21	.295	.373	.500	.368	12.4%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2017.

Loading 11 batted balls…

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2017.

Below averageLeague averageAbove average

Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .254.

Pitch sequencing

What Justin Nicolino throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter

Four-seamChangeupCurveballCutter

Select a count to see exactly what Justin Nicolino throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Season


Four-Seam Fastball	52.7%	443	90.9	2,014	44.5%	9.7%	95	.368	1.092
Changeup	20.2%	170	83.5	1,561	39.4%	28.7%	46	.239	.655
Curveball	16.9%	142	77.1	2,370	50.0%	16.2%	33	.303	.749
Cutter	10.0%	84	88.1	2,034	32.1%	7.1%	30	.333	.755

Justin Nicolino's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

Head to head

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Justin Nicolino

Similar players

Nearest 2017 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

Matt CainSF

ERA: 5.43
FIP: 5.06
SO: 75
WAR: 0.3

Chase De JongSEA

ERA: 6.35
FIP: 5.91
SO: 13
WAR: -0.2

Sam DysonSF

ERA: 6.09
FIP: 5.63
SO: 34
WAR: -0.5

Comparable

Jacob TurnerWSH

ERA: 5.08
FIP: 5.88
SO: 23
WAR: -0.4

Comparable

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.