P · 2017

Justin Nicolino

Age: 26
B/T: L/L
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 195 lb
Number: #60

Born: November 22, 1991 in Orlando, FL, USA
MLB debut: June 20, 2015

dbWAR: -.9
PA: 13
AVG: .000
OBP: .000
SLG: .000
wRC+: -127

Justin Nicolino is a pitcher for the Miami Marlins. In 2017 he hit 0 home runs and knocked in 0 RBIs, notching 0 hits across 13 plate appearances in 9 games. His batting average was .000, 100.0% lower than the league average of .255. He reached base at a .000 clip and slugged .000, for an OPS of .000, 100.0% lower than the league mark of .750. He averaged 81.4 mph off the bat, hit 12.5% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 82.1% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his -127 wRC+ puts his offence 227% below average. That comes to -0.3 dbWAR — -3.5 runs with the bat, +0.0 on the bases, +0.0 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2017.

wRC+-127

wOBA.000

ISO.000

BB%0.0%

WAR-.3

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2017. These four terms sum to -3.1 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.


2017	9	13	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	0.0%	15.4%	.000	-3.5	-127	-0.3
2016	13	24	2	1	11	.091	.130	.091	.000	.182	4.2%	45.8%	.107	-4.1	-48	-0.3
2015	12	27	1	0	8	.040	.040	.040	.000	.059	0.0%	29.6%	.035	-6.0	-100	-0.5

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.


2017	20	8	48.0	2	3	66	27	26	20	5.06	5.55	1.79	4.9	3.8	116	127	-0.3
2016	18	13	79.1	3	6	96	44	37	20	4.99	4.39	1.46	4.2	2.3	119	105	0.5
2015	12	12	74.0	5	4	72	33	23	20	4.01	4.85	1.24	2.8	2.4	101	122	0.0

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Season

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2017. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHP	4	4	0	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	.000	50.0%
vs RHP	9	7	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	0.0%

Season

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2017. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHB	60	58	23	2	2	5	.397	.417	.569	.418	8.3%
vs RHB	169	146	43	6	18	21	.295	.373	.500	.368	12.4%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2017.

Loading 11 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 8 tracked batted balls in 2017. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate: 0.0%
Exit velocity: 81.4
Max exit velo: 96.3
Hard hit: 12.5%
Sweet spot: 0.0%
Launch angle: -7.0°

Barrel rate0.0%

Exit velocity81.4 mph

Hard hit rate12.5%

Contact rate82.1%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2017.

Below averageLeague averageAbove average

Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .254.

Situational hitting

How Justin Nicolino hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by

By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
Situation	PA	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA
All situations	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	.000	.000	.000	.000
Bases empty · thin	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000
Runner on first · thin	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000
Runners on · thin	9	7	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000
RISP · thin	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Rows under 25 plate appearances are marked thin — at that size a rate moves several dozen points on one hit. Counted from play-by-play, 2017.

Pitch sequencing

What Justin Nicolino throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter

Four-seamChangeupCurveballCutter

Select a count to see exactly what Justin Nicolino throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, and how often it misses in 2017.


Four-Seam Fastball	52.7%	443	90.9	2,014	44.5%	9.7%
Changeup	20.2%	170	83.5	1,561	39.4%	28.7%
Curveball	16.9%	142	77.1	2,370	50.0%	16.2%
Cutter	10.0%	84	88.1	2,034	32.1%	7.1%

Justin Nicolino's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters.

Head to head

Put Justin Nicolino beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players

Justin Nicolino

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.