P · 2016

José Fernández

Age: 24
B/T: R/R
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 240 lb
Number: #16

Born: July 31, 1992 in Santa Clara, Cuba
MLB debut: April 7, 2013

dbWAR: 7.4
PA: 61
AVG: .250
OBP: .264
SLG: .288
wRC+: 49

José Fernández is a pitcher for the Miami Marlins. In 2016 he hit 0 home runs and knocked in 6 RBIs, notching 13 hits across 61 plate appearances in 28 games. His batting average was .250, 2.1% lower than the league average of .255. He reached base at a .264 clip and slugged .288, for an OPS of .553, 25.2% lower than the league mark of .739. He averaged 82.7 mph off the bat, hit 23.7% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 64.8% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 49 wRC+ puts his offence 51% below average. That comes to -0.2 dbWAR — -3.8 runs with the bat, -0.0 on the bases, -0.0 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2016.

wRC+49

wOBA.243

ISO.038

BB%1.6%

WAR-.2

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2016. These four terms sum to -1.8 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

																				Trend
2016	28	61	13	0	6	0	1	13	.250	.264	.288	.038	.333	1.6%	21.3%	.243	-3.8	49	-0.2
2015	10	22	3	1	2	0	0	4	.167	.167	.389	.222	.154	0.0%	18.2%	.236	-1.4	44	-0.1

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

																			Trend
2016	29	29	182.1	16	8	0	149	58	253	55	2.86	2.30	1.12	12.5	2.7	68	55	5.7
2015	11	11	64.2	6	1	0	61	21	79	14	2.92	2.24	1.16	11.0	1.9	74	56	2.0

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Season

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2016. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHP	2	1	1	0	0	0	1.000	1.000	1.000	.877	0.0%
vs RHP	59	51	12	0	1	13	.235	.250	.275	.231	22.0%

Season

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2016. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHB	401	353	86	8	40	111	.244	.319	.374	.301	27.7%
vs RHB	336	311	63	5	15	142	.203	.250	.293	.242	42.3%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2016.

Loading 46 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 38 tracked batted balls in 2016. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate: 0.0%
Exit velocity: 82.7
Max exit velo: 107.7
Hard hit: 23.7%
Sweet spot: 21.1%
Launch angle: -9.7°

Barrel rate0.0%

Exit velocity82.7 mph

Hard hit rate23.7%

Contact rate64.8%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2016.

Below averageLeague averageAbove average

Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .255.

Situational hitting

How José Fernández hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by

By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
Situation	PA	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA
All situations	61	—	—	—	—	—	—	.250	.264	.288	.243
Bases empty	34	34	8	0	0	0	9	.235	.235	.265	.218
Runner on first · thin	17	10	1	0	0	1	4	.100	.182	.100	.143
Runners on	27	18	5	0	6	1	4	.278	.316	.333	.288
RISP · thin	10	8	4	0	6	0	0	.500	.500	.625	.487

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Rows under 25 plate appearances are marked thin — at that size a rate moves several dozen points on one hit. Counted from play-by-play, 2016.

Pitch sequencing

What José Fernández throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter

Four-seamCurveballChangeupSinkerIN

Select a count to see exactly what José Fernández throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, and how often it misses in 2016.


Four-Seam Fastball	49.8%	1,464	95.2	2,211	51.8%	22.4%
Curveball	33.5%	984	83.7	1,253	55.3%	49.3%
Changeup	12.3%	362	88.2	1,813	41.4%	30.3%
Sinker	3.4%	101	93.5	2,221	36.6%	13.3%
Intentional Ball	0.7%	21	67.3	1,376	0.0%	—

José Fernández's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters.

Head to head

Put José Fernández beside up to three others.

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José Fernández

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.