DataBaseball
2026
Jake Fraley headshot

Players · F · RF · 2026

Jake Fraley

Age
31
B/T
L/L
Height
5' 11"
Weight
206 lb
Number
#17
Born
May 25, 1995 in Frederick, MD, United States
MLB debut
August 21, 2019
Drafted
2016, round CB-B
College
Louisiana State
High school
Caravel Academy
Salary, 2026
$3M
dbWAR
5.5
8 season(s)
PA
97
AVG
.216
OBP
.289
SLG
.364
wRC+
81
100 = avg

Jake Fraley is a right fielder for the Tampa Bay Rays. So far in 2026 he has hit 2 home runs and knocked in 5 RBIs, notching 19 hits across 97 plate appearances in 31 games. His batting average is .216, 11.5% lower than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .289 clip and slugged .364, for an OPS of .652, 9.2% lower than the league mark of .719. He averaged 84.1 mph off the bat, hit 20.7% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 8.6% of them and made contact on 77.0% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 81 wRC+ puts his offence 19% below average. That comes to 0.1 dbWAR — -2.1 runs with the bat, -0.0 for the ballpark, +0.5 on the bases, +0.1 on double plays, -0.9 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+81
wOBA.292
ISO.148
BB%9.3%
WAR.1

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +0.6 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting-2.1Ballpark-0.0Baserunning+0.5Double plays+0.1Position-0.9Replacement+3.0
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

1.70.7-0.41920212223242526

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026TB319719253929.216.289.364.148.2989.3%29.9%.292-2.1810.1
2025CIN/ATL732174662342549.241.332.382.141.29411.5%22.6%.319+0.71020.5
2024CIN11238297526202670.277.330.386.109.3316.8%18.3%.316+1.2991.2
2023CIN110380861565213771.256.339.443.188.2839.7%18.7%.340+6.31141.7
2022CIN6824756122842654.259.344.468.208.28910.5%21.9%.354+8.41241.5
2021SEA7726545936104671.210.352.369.159.26517.4%26.8%.328+2.31121.0
2020SEA7294002211.154.241.269.115.2676.9%37.9%.235-2.241-0.1
2019SEA11416010014.150.171.200.050.2310.0%34.1%.162-5.6-9-0.4

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP10103004.300.300.400.30440.0%
vs RHP8778162925.205.287.359.29028.7%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 59 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 58 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
8.6%
5 barrels
Exit velocity
84.1
mph average
Max exit velo
107.8
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
20.7%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
43.1%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
22.2°
average
Barrel rate8.6%
Exit velocity84.1 mph
Hard hit rate20.7%
Contact rate77.0%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.222———.33315 AB.16712 AB—6 AB.18211 AB—5 AB—3 AB—6 AB—7 AB—3 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Jake Fraley hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations97——————.216.289.364.292
Bases empty55521311318.250.291.423.311
Runner on first · thin221941335.211.318.421.329
Runners on4236614611.167.286.278.267
RISP · thin201720136.118.250.118.198

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Rows under 25 plate appearances are marked thin — at that size a rate moves several dozen points on one hit. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Head to head

Put Jake Fraley beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Jake Fraley
How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.