DataBaseball
2026
Justin Dunn headshot

P · 2021

Justin Dunn

Age
27
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 2"
Weight
210 lb
Born
September 22, 1995 in Freeport, NY, USA
MLB debut
September 12, 2019

Age shown as of the 2022 season.

dbWAR
-1.6
6 season(s)
PA
3
AVG
.333
OBP
.333
SLG
.667
wRC+
177
100 = avg

Justin Dunn is a pitcher for the Seattle Mariners. In 2021 he hit 0 home runs and knocked in 1 RBI, notching 1 hit across 3 plate appearances in 2 games. His batting average was .333, 36.7% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .333 clip and slugged .667, for an OPS of 1.000, 37.4% higher than the league mark of .728. He averaged 95.1 mph off the bat, hit 100.0% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 50.0% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 177 wRC+ puts his offence 77% above average. That comes to 0.0 dbWAR — +0.3 runs with the bat, +0.0 on the bases, +0.0 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2021.

wRC+177
wOBA.417
ISO.333
BB%0.0%
WAR.0

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2021. These four terms sum to +0.4 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting+0.3Baserunning+0.0Position+0.0Replacement+0.1
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

0.00.0-0.01921

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
202123101002.333.333.667.3331.0000.0%66.7%.417+0.31770.0
201911000001.000.000.000.0000.0%100.0%.000-0.3-121-0.0

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
20227731.0130322121176.108.311.586.14.9154209-1.2
2021111150.1130372149293.754.741.318.85.2881110.2
2020101045.2410312238314.346.541.367.56.197147-0.6
2019446.200022592.705.761.656.812.160128-0.0

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2021. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP110001.000.000.000.000100.0%
vs RHP221001.500.5001.000.62650.0%
Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2021. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB117951952126.200.350.389.33622.2%
vs RHB10189181823.202.287.270.25822.8%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2021.

Loading 1 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 1 tracked batted balls in 2021. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
0.0%
0 barrels
Exit velocity
95.1
mph average
Max exit velo
95.1
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
100.0%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
100.0%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
27.0°
average
Barrel rate0.0%
Exit velocity95.1 mph
Hard hit rate100.0%
Contact rate50.0%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2021.

1 AB1 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Justin Dunn hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations3.333.333.667.417
Bases empty · thin2200002.000.000.000.000
Runners on · thin11101001.0001.0002.0001.252
RISP · thin11101001.0001.0002.0001.252

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Rows under 25 plate appearances are marked thin — at that size a rate moves several dozen points on one hit. Counted from play-by-play, 2021.

Pitch sequencing

What Justin Dunn throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
Four-seamCurveballSliderChangeup

Select a count to see exactly what Justin Dunn throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, and how often it misses in 2021.

Four-Seam Fastball51.7%45093.72,35648.4%21.1%
Curveball32.2%28080.22,50248.9%29.4%
Slider14.8%12984.02,49938.0%29.6%
Changeup1.3%1189.51,92245.5%20.0%
Justin Dunn's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters.

Head to head

Put Justin Dunn beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Justin Dunn
How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.