DataBaseball
2026
José Fermín headshot

Players · F · LF · 2026 regular season

José Fermín

Age
27
B/T
R/R
Height
5' 10"
Weight
198 lb
Number
#15
Born
March 29, 1999 in Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic
MLB debut
July 7, 2023

Compare with…vs Vladimir Guerrero Jr.vs Jeff McNeilvs Nico Hoerner

dbWAR
.6
Regular season, 4 season(s)
PA
370
AVG
.248
OBP
.309
SLG
.355
wRC+
88
100 = avg

José Fermín is a left fielder for the St. Louis Cardinals. In 2026 he hit 6 home runs and knocked in 41 RBIs, notching 81 hits across 370 plate appearances in 116 games. His batting average was .248, 1.5% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .309 clip and slugged .355, for an OPS of .663, 7.7% lower than the league mark of .719 — 8th of 19 on his team, and 312th of 465 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 85.7 mph off the bat, hit 31.5% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 2.1% of them and made contact on 86.1% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 88 wRC+ puts his offence 12% below average. That comes to 0.6 dbWAR — -6.7 runs with the bat, +0.8 for the ballpark, +1.1 on the bases, -1.1 on double plays, +0.3 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026 regular season.

wRC+88
wOBA.296
ISO.107
BB%8.1%
WAR.6

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +5.8 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting-6.7Ballpark+0.8Baserunning+1.1Double plays-1.1Position+0.3Replacement+11.4
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

0.60.1-0.523242526

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only.

Trend
2026STL1163708164183050.248.309.355.107.2708.1%13.5%.296-6.7880.6
2025STL307017192810.283.377.417.133.32711.4%14.3%.356+2.41320.5
2024STL397911042711.155.241.197.042.1838.9%13.9%.210-6.728-0.5
2023STL19611204068.235.339.255.020.2799.8%13.1%.283-1.973-0.0

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP1661473941520.265.327.408.32412.0%
vs RHP2041804221530.233.294.311.27414.7%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 284 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 286 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
2.1%
6 barrels
Exit velocity
85.7
mph average
Max exit velo
109.3
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
31.5%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
35.3%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
16.0°
average
Barrel rate2.1%
Exit velocity85.7 mph
Hard hit rate31.5%
Contact rate86.1%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.000.269—.206.27322 AB.22935 AB.00010 AB.17423 AB.41943 AB.30243 AB.09111 AB.29627 AB.21233 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How José Fermín hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations370——————.248.309.355.296
Bases empty20819248671538.250.304.396.310
Runner on first6661170436.279.333.328.302
Runners on162135330341512.244.314.296.279
RISP967416030126.216.301.270.263

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

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José Fermín

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.