DataBaseball
2026
Patrick Bailey headshot

Players · B · C · 2026 regular season

Patrick Bailey

Age
27
B/T
S/R
Height
6' 0"
Weight
223 lb
Number
#16
Born
May 29, 1999 in Greensboro, NC, United States
MLB debut
May 19, 2023
Drafted
2017, round 37
College
North Carolina State
High school
Wesleyan Christian

Compare with…vs Marcell Ozunavs Ryan McMahonvs Ezequiel Tovar

dbWAR
2.5
Regular season, 4 season(s)
PA
345
AVG
.206
OBP
.272
SLG
.335
wRC+
67
100 = avg

Patrick Bailey is a catcher for the Cleveland Guardians. In 2026 he hit 10 home runs and knocked in 37 RBIs, notching 64 hits across 345 plate appearances in 104 games. His batting average was .206, 15.4% lower than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .272 clip and slugged .335, for an OPS of .607, 15.5% lower than the league mark of .719 — 13th of 15 on his team, and 392nd of 465 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 89.3 mph off the bat, hit 42.8% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 7.2% of them and made contact on 73.2% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 67 wRC+ puts his offence 33% below average. That comes to 0.3 dbWAR — -13.1 runs with the bat, -0.2 for the ballpark, +0.2 on the bases, -0.9 on double plays, +6.2 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026 regular season.

wRC+67
wOBA.272
ISO.129
BB%8.1%
WAR.3

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +2.7 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting-13.1Ballpark-0.2Baserunning+0.2Double plays-0.9Position+6.2Replacement+10.7
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

1.10.50.023242526

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only — postseason games are listed separately below.

Trend
2026CLE/SF10434564103732892.206.272.335.129.2568.1%26.7%.272-13.1670.3
2025SF12945291655130133.222.277.325.103.3086.6%29.4%.267-17.9670.4
2024SF12044894846439100.234.298.339.105.2878.7%22.3%.284-10.5821.1
2023SF9435376748121100.233.285.359.126.3145.9%28.3%.283-10.8780.7

Separate from the regular season

Postseason Postseason

Wild Card through World Series. These games are counted on their own: none of them are in the regular-season tables, career totals, league context, leaderboards or dbWAR on this page.

Postseason batting

Postseason Patrick Bailey's postseason batting, by October and round. Not part of any regular-season figure on this page.
SeasonTeamRoundGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026 PostCLEPostseason total · through Oct 19113633790024350.273.333.455.788
ALDS51615350012120.333.375.533.908
ALCS62018440012230.222.300.389.689

Box-score and rate statistics only. wOBA, wRC+, FIP and dbWAR are measured against a full league season, and a postseason is a few teams playing each other for a month, so they are not computed for October.

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP584761817.128.246.213.22229.3%
vs RHP2872635892075.221.277.357.28226.1%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 224 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 222 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
7.2%
16 barrels
Exit velocity
89.3
mph average
Max exit velo
109.5
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
42.8%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
37.4%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
13.1°
average
Barrel rate7.2%
Exit velocity89.3 mph
Hard hit rate42.8%
Contact rate73.2%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.160—.120.125.42914 AB.24025 AB.1258 AB.20030 AB.33339 AB.23517 AB.15632 AB.20539 AB.17617 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Patrick Bailey hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations345——————.206.272.335.272
Bases empty19818439661354.212.268.337.271
Runner on first776613161018.197.303.303.282
Runners on147126254311538.198.278.333.274
RISP706012325520.200.250.367.266

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

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Patrick Bailey

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.