DataBaseball
2026
Ceddanne Rafaela headshot

Players · R · CF · 2026 regular season

Ceddanne Rafaela

Age
26
B/T
R/R
Height
5' 10"
Weight
165 lb
Number
#3
Born
September 18, 2000 in Willemstad, Curaçao
MLB debut
August 28, 2023
Salary, 2026
$2.25M

Compare with…vs Ben Ricevs Willson Contrerasvs Jake McCarthy

dbWAR
6.5
Regular season, 4 season(s)
PA
576
AVG
.283
OBP
.319
SLG
.442
wRC+
107
100 = avg

Ceddanne Rafaela is a center fielder for the Boston Red Sox. In 2026 he hit 16 home runs and knocked in 70 RBIs, notching 153 hits across 576 plate appearances in 136 games. His batting average was .283, 15.9% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .319 clip and slugged .442, for an OPS of .761, 5.8% higher than the league mark of .719 — 4th of 16 on his team, and 125th of 465 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 86.0 mph off the bat, hit 32.2% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 4.9% of them and made contact on 75.2% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 107 wRC+ puts his offence 7% above average. That comes to 2.9 dbWAR — +6.0 runs with the bat, -0.5 for the ballpark, -1.1 on the bases, +1.6 on double plays, +4.3 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026 regular season.

wRC+107
wOBA.331
ISO.159
BB%3.8%
WAR2.9

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +28.2 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting+6.0Ballpark-0.5Baserunning-1.1Double plays+1.6Position+4.3Replacement+17.8
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

2.91.50.023242526

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only — postseason games are listed separately below.

Trend
2026BOS13657615316701722117.283.319.442.159.3333.8%20.3%.331+6.01072.9
2025BOS15258713616632028117.249.295.414.165.2894.8%19.9%.308-3.7952.3
2024BOS15157113415751915151.246.274.390.143.3122.6%26.4%.287-11.8811.2
2023BOS268920253428.241.281.386.145.3334.5%31.5%.289-2.3760.1

Separate from the regular season

Postseason Postseason

Wild Card through World Series. These games are counted on their own: none of them are in the regular-season tables, career totals, league context, leaderboards or dbWAR on this page.

Postseason batting

Postseason Ceddanne Rafaela's postseason batting, by October and round. Not part of any regular-season figure on this page.
SeasonTeamRoundGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026 PostBOSWild Card · through Sep 30277000000000.000.000.000.000
2025 PostBOSWild Card31210200000240.000.167.000.167
CareerPostseason total · 2 Octobers51917200000240.000.105.000.105

Box-score and rate statistics only. wOBA, wRC+, FIP and dbWAR are measured against a full league season, and a postseason is a few teams playing each other for a month, so they are not computed for October.

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP154144405837.278.325.486.34924.0%
vs RHP422397113111480.285.317.426.32519.0%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 429 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 425 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
4.9%
21 barrels
Exit velocity
86.0
mph average
Max exit velo
109.9
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
32.2%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
36.2%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
11.8°
average
Barrel rate4.9%
Exit velocity86.0 mph
Hard hit rate32.2%
Contact rate75.2%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.282.227.133.233.34432 AB.42433 AB.24233 AB.37135 AB.35157 AB.26856 AB.28621 AB.31042 AB.24233 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Ceddanne Rafaela hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations576——————.283.319.442.331
Bases empty31530384881172.277.305.432.321
Runner on first1331243049522.242.293.387.302
Runners on261238698621145.290.336.454.343
RISP12811439453623.342.381.526.388

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

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Ceddanne Rafaela

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.