DataBaseball
2026
Ceddanne Rafaela headshot

Players · R · CF · 2026

Ceddanne Rafaela

Age
26
B/T
R/R
Height
5' 10"
Weight
165 lb
Number
#3
Born
September 18, 2000 in Willemstad, Curaçao
MLB debut
August 28, 2023
Salary, 2026
$2.25M
dbWAR
6.5
4 season(s)
PA
574
AVG
.282
OBP
.318
SLG
.442
wRC+
107
100 = avg

Ceddanne Rafaela is a center fielder for the Boston Red Sox. So far in 2026 he has hit 16 home runs and knocked in 70 RBIs, notching 152 hits across 574 plate appearances in 135 games. His batting average is .282, 15.6% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .318 clip and slugged .442, for an OPS of .760, 5.7% higher than the league mark of .719 — 4th of 16 on his team, and 131st of 462 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 86.0 mph off the bat, hit 32.3% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 5.0% of them and made contact on 75.3% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 107 wRC+ puts his offence 7% above average. That comes to 2.9 dbWAR — +5.9 runs with the bat, -0.5 for the ballpark, -1.1 on the bases, +1.6 on double plays, +4.3 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+107
wOBA.331
ISO.160
BB%3.8%
WAR2.9

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +28.0 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting+5.9Ballpark-0.5Baserunning-1.1Double plays+1.6Position+4.3Replacement+17.7
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

2.91.50.023242526

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026BOS13557415216701722116.282.318.442.160.3323.8%20.2%.331+5.91072.9
2025BOS15258713616632028117.249.295.414.165.2894.8%19.9%.308-3.7952.3
2024BOS15157113415751915151.246.274.390.143.3122.6%26.4%.287-11.8811.2
2023BOS268920253428.241.281.386.145.3334.5%31.5%.289-2.3760.1

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP152142395836.275.322.486.34823.7%
vs RHP422397113111480.285.317.426.32519.0%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 428 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 424 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
5.0%
21 barrels
Exit velocity
86.0
mph average
Max exit velo
109.9
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
32.3%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
36.1%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
11.8°
average
Barrel rate5.0%
Exit velocity86.0 mph
Hard hit rate32.3%
Contact rate75.3%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.282.227.138.224.34432 AB.42433 AB.24233 AB.37135 AB.35157 AB.26856 AB.28621 AB.31042 AB.24233 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Ceddanne Rafaela hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations574——————.282.318.442.331
Bases empty31330183881171.276.304.432.320
Runner on first1331243049522.242.293.387.302
Runners on261238698621145.290.336.454.344
RISP12811439453623.342.381.526.388

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Head to head

Put Ceddanne Rafaela beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Ceddanne Rafaela

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.