DataBaseball
2026
Michael Busch headshot

Players · B · 1B · 2026

Michael Busch

Age
29
B/T
L/R
Height
5' 11"
Weight
210 lb
Number
#29
Born
November 9, 1997 in Inver Grove Heights, MN, United States
MLB debut
April 25, 2023
Drafted
2019, round 1
College
North Carolina
dbWAR
8.8
4 season(s)
PA
707
AVG
.243
OBP
.354
SLG
.395
wRC+
113
100 = avg

Michael Busch is a first baseman for the Chicago Cubs. So far in 2026 he has hit 20 home runs and knocked in 77 RBIs, notching 145 hits across 707 plate appearances in 159 games. His batting average is .243, level with the league average of .244. He reached base at a .354 clip and slugged .395, for an OPS of .749, 4.2% higher than the league mark of .719 — 5th of 13 on his team, and 140th of 462 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 88.3 mph off the bat, hit 39.9% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 7.8% of them and made contact on 74.4% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 113 wRC+ puts his offence 13% above average. That comes to 2.4 dbWAR — +11.2 runs with the bat, -0.3 for the ballpark, -1.4 on the bases, +0.6 on double plays, -8.8 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+113
wOBA.338
ISO.152
BB%13.0%
WAR2.4

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +23.2 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting+11.2Ballpark-0.3Baserunning-1.4Double plays+0.6Position-8.8Replacement+21.9
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

4.11.9-0.323242526

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026CHC1597071452077392165.243.354.395.152.30013.0%23.3%.338+11.21132.4
2025CHC1545921373490456139.261.343.523.261.2929.5%23.5%.370+26.81394.1
2024CHC1495671232165263162.248.335.440.192.32211.1%28.6%.339+12.41292.6
2023LAD268112271827.167.247.292.125.2279.9%33.3%.242-5.348-0.3

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP2031724272443.244.350.424.34621.2%
vs RHP5044251031368122.242.355.384.33424.2%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 437 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 436 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
7.8%
34 barrels
Exit velocity
88.3
mph average
Max exit velo
109.2
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
39.9%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
36.6%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
15.6°
average
Barrel rate7.8%
Exit velocity88.3 mph
Hard hit rate39.9%
Contact rate74.4%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.233.233.118.000.37532 AB.18244 AB.31029 AB.34963 AB.26790 AB.28656 AB.26242 AB.32858 AB.07726 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Michael Busch hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations707——————.243.354.395.338
Bases empty3673177814154490.246.349.432.348
Runner on first15413326391846.195.305.316.289
Runners on340280676624875.239.359.354.326
RISP186147413533029.279.403.388.358

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Head to head

Put Michael Busch beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Michael Busch

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.