DataBaseball
2026
TJ Hopkins headshot

RF · 2023

TJ Hopkins

Age
26
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 1"
Weight
195 lb
Born
January 16, 1997 in Summerville, SC, USA
MLB debut
June 3, 2023
dbWAR
-.4
1 season(s)
PA
44
AVG
.171
OBP
.227
SLG
.171
wRC+
10
100 = avg

TJ Hopkins is a right fielder for the Cincinnati Reds. In 2023 he hit 0 home runs and knocked in 1 RBI, notching 7 hits across 44 plate appearances in 21 games. His batting average was .171, 31.3% lower than the league average of .248. He reached base at a .227 clip and slugged .171, for an OPS of .398, 45.8% lower than the league mark of .734. He averaged 88.7 mph off the bat, hit 50.0% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 65.4% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 10 wRC+ puts his offence 90% below average. That comes to -0.4 dbWAR — -4.8 runs with the bat, +0.1 on the bases, -0.7 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2023.

wRC+10
wOBA.189
ISO.000
BB%4.5%
WAR-.4

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2023. These four terms sum to -3.9 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting-4.8Baserunning+0.1Position-0.7Replacement+1.5
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
202321447011217.171.227.171.000.2924.5%38.6%.189-4.810-0.4

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2023. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP23214019.190.261.190.21639.1%
vs RHP21203018.150.190.150.16038.1%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2023.

Loading 24 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 24 tracked batted balls in 2023. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
0.0%
0 barrels
Exit velocity
88.7
mph average
Max exit velo
106.8
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
50.0%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
12.5%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
-1.3°
average
Barrel rate0.0%
Exit velocity88.7 mph
Hard hit rate50.0%
Contact rate65.4%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2023.

1 AB5 AB1 AB1 AB6 AB2 AB4 AB2 AB3 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .248.

Situational hitting

How TJ Hopkins hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations44.171.227.171.189
Bases empty272670019.269.296.269.255
Runner on first · thin6600003.000.000.000.000
Runners on · thin171500118.000.118.000.085
RISP · thin11900115.000.182.000.131

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Rows under 25 plate appearances are marked thin — at that size a rate moves several dozen points on one hit. Counted from play-by-play, 2023.

Head to head

Put TJ Hopkins beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
TJ Hopkins
How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.