Players · E · Pitcher · 2026

Bryce Elder

Age: 27
B/T: R/R
Height: 6' 2"
Weight: 220 lb
Number: #55

Born: May 19, 1999 in Decatur, TX, United States
MLB debut: April 12, 2022
Drafted: 2020, round 5
College: Texas

dbWAR: 5.3
IP: 149.0
ERA: 4.11
FIP: 4.62
K/9: 7.3
FIP−: 111

Bryce Elder is a starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves. In 2026 he struck out 121 batters over 149.0 innings across 26 appearances, 26 of them starts, going 8-8. His ERA of 4.11 is 1.7% lower than the league average of 4.18 — 11th of 15 on his team, and 280th of 538 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 4.62 FIP suggests that his ERA had some help behind him. He missed bats on 21.6% of swings (10.0% of every pitch he threw), walked 7.7% of the batters he faced and struck out 19.1%. His 1.1 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026.

FIP4.62

K/97.3

WHIP1.27

WAR1.1

WAR by season

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.


2026	ATL	26	26	149.0	8	8	140	68	121	49	4.11	4.62	1.27	7.3	3.0	98	111	1.1
2025	ATL	28	28	156.1	8	11	167	92	131	51	5.30	4.55	1.39	7.5	2.9	127	109	1.2
2024	ATL	10	10	49.2	2	5	64	36	46	17	6.52	4.56	1.63	8.3	3.1	160	112	0.3
2023	ATL	31	31	174.2	12	4	160	74	128	63	3.81	4.42	1.28	6.6	3.2	88	102	2.0
2022	ATL	10	9	54.0	2	4	44	19	47	23	3.17	3.78	1.24	7.8	3.8	80	95	0.7

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Season

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHB	397	353	76	14	36	79	.215	.289	.374	.295	19.9%
vs RHB	236	220	64	10	13	42	.291	.333	.459	.347	17.8%

Pitch sequencing

What Bryce Elder throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter

SinkerSliderFour-seamCutterChangeup

Select a count to see exactly what Bryce Elder throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Season


Sinker	28.0%	629	91.0	2,087	42.8%	12.4%	172	.233	.658
Slider	22.4%	503	83.1	2,450	43.9%	29.4%	149	.248	.778
Four-Seam Fastball	22.2%	498	92.5	2,232	45.2%	17.4%	96	.271	.753
Cutter	15.2%	341	88.5	2,208	43.7%	20.3%	83	.265	.832
Changeup	12.2%	274	85.7	1,553	32.1%	30.4%	75	.200	.497

Bryce Elder's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

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Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

Tanner BibeeCLE

ERA: 4.35
FIP: 4.60
SO: 142
WAR: 1.4

Very close

Bailey OberMIN

ERA: 4.21
FIP: 4.52
SO: 91
WAR: 1.0

Very close

Casey MizeDET

ERA: 4.32
FIP: 4.15
SO: 110
WAR: 1.6

Very close

Anthony KayCWS

ERA: 4.53
FIP: 4.80
SO: 125
WAR: 0.7

Very close

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.