DataBaseball
2026
Bryce Elder headshot

Pitcher · 2026

Bryce Elder

Age
27
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 2"
Weight
220 lb
Number
#55
Born
May 19, 1999 in Decatur, TX, USA
MLB debut
April 12, 2022
Drafted
2020, round 5
College
Texas
dbWAR
2.0
3 season(s)
IP
126.2
ERA
3.69
FIP
4.44
K/9
7.4
FIP−
106
100 = avg

Bryce Elder is a starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves. In 2026 he struck out 104 batters over 126.2 innings across 22 appearances, 22 of them starts, going 8-6. His ERA of 3.69 was 11.5% lower than the league average of 4.18 — 10th of 13 on his team, and 208th of 467 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 4.44 FIP suggests that his ERA had some help behind him. He missed bats on 21.8% of swings (10.2% of every pitch he threw), walked 7.9% of the batters he faced and struck out 19.7%. His 0.9 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026.

FIP4.44
K/97.4
WHIP1.20
WAR.9

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB32929358113067.198.272.352.27820.4%
vs RHB2001865281237.280.327.441.33718.5%

Pitch sequencing

What Bryce Elder throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
SinkerSliderFour-seamCutterChangeup

Select a count to see exactly what Bryce Elder throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, and how often it misses in 2026.

Sinker28.0%52891.12,08643.9%12.1%
Slider24.8%46783.12,45044.3%30.0%
Four-Seam Fastball22.2%41892.52,22843.8%18.6%
Cutter15.5%29288.62,20545.9%21.8%
Changeup9.5%17885.71,42328.1%27.9%
Bryce Elder's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters.

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
20262222126.286011052104423.694.441.207.43.0881060.9
20252828156.1811016792131515.304.551.397.52.91271090.9
2024101049.2250643646176.524.561.638.33.11601120.2

Head to head

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Bryce Elder

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.