CF · 2026

Lucas Spence

Age: 23
B/T: L/L
Height: 6' 0"
Weight: 195 lb
Number: #28

Born: January 27, 2003 in Chicago Heights, IL, USA
MLB debut: July 17, 2026
College: Southern Illinois-Edwardsville

dbWAR: -.3
PA: 41
AVG: .162
OBP: .244
SLG: .189
wRC+: 25

Lucas Spence is a center fielder for the Houston Astros. In 2026 he hit 0 home runs and knocked in 3 RBIs, notching 6 hits across 41 plate appearances in 12 games. His batting average was .162, 33.4% lower than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .244 clip and slugged .189, for an OPS of .433, 39.8% lower than the league mark of .719. He averaged 92.7 mph off the bat, hit 40.9% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 62.0% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 25 wRC+ puts his offence 75% below average. That comes to -0.3 dbWAR — -3.7 runs with the bat, -0.5 on the bases, +0.2 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+25

wOBA.211

ISO.027

BB%7.3%

WAR-.3

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These four terms sum to -2.6 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHP	13	12	3	0	1	4	.250	.308	.250	.261	30.8%
vs RHP	28	25	3	0	2	11	.120	.214	.160	.187	39.3%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 22 batted balls…

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

Below averageLeague averageAbove average

Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Lucas Spence hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by

By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
Situation	PA	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA
All situations	41	—	—	—	—	—	—	.162	.244	.189	.211
Bases empty · thin	21	19	2	0	0	1	8	.105	.190	.105	.155
Runner on first · thin	10	10	2	0	0	0	3	.200	.200	.200	.178
Runners on · thin	20	18	4	0	3	2	7	.222	.300	.278	.269
RISP · thin	10	8	2	0	3	2	4	.250	.400	.375	.360

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Rows under 25 plate appearances are marked thin — at that size a rate moves several dozen points on one hit. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

																				Trend
2026	12	41	6	0	3	0	3	15	.162	.244	.189	.027	.273	7.3%	36.6%	.211	-3.7	25	-0.3	—

Head to head

Put Lucas Spence beside up to three others.

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Lucas Spence

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.