Head to head · 2026 pitching

Mitch Keller vs Seth Lugo

In 2026 Seth Lugo has been worth 0.9 more wins. Both lines are computed from play-by-play on the same constants, so they are measured the same way rather than quoted from two sources.

Mitch Keller PIT

Seth Lugo KC

2026 pitching. The stronger figure in each row is highlighted — for ERA, FIP, WHIP and walks that is the lower one.
Statistic	Mitch Keller	Seth Lugo
G	22	32
GS	22	32
IP	115.2	172.1
W	6	7
SO	89	134
ERA	5.29	5.17
FIP	4.55	4.38
WHIP	1.37	1.47
K/9	6.9	7.0
BB/9	3.3	2.8
FIP−	109	105
WAR	1.0	1.9

Career

Totalled over the seasons published here, which is not the same as a whole career: a player who debuted before 2015 begins at 2015, not at his real first game.

Career pitching totals. ERA, WHIP and the per-nine rates are recomputed from the components rather than averaged; FIP needs each season’s own constant and is left to the table above.
Statistic	Mitch Keller	Seth Lugo
G	187	392
GS	185	155
IP	993.2	1,165.1
W	48	71
L	73	56
SV	0	16
SO	926	1,088
BB	341	330
ERA	4.60	3.74
WHIP	1.38	1.22
K/9	8.4	8.4
BB/9	3.1	2.5
HR/9	1.1	1.1
WAR	13.6	16.2

Mitch Keller’s full profile →Seth Lugo’s full profile →

More head to heads

The same seasons, measured against somebody else.

Mitch Keller vs

Seth Lugo vs

How these are computed

FIP uses the constant solved from this season’s own runs, and FIP− is park-adjusted against the same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page. To put these two beside a third, the comparison page takes up to four.