DataBaseball
2026
Mitch Keller headshot

Players · K · Pitcher · 2026

Mitch Keller

Age
30
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 3"
Weight
213 lb
Number
#23
Born
April 4, 1996 in Cedar Rapids, IA, United States
MLB debut
May 27, 2019
Drafted
2014, round 2
High school
Xavier
Salary, 2026
$16.9M
dbWAR
13.5
10 season(s)
IP
115.2
ERA
5.29
FIP
4.55
K/9
6.9
FIP−
109
100 = avg

Mitch Keller is a starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates. In 2026 he struck out 89 batters over 115.2 innings across 22 appearances, 22 of them starts, going 6-8. His ERA of 5.29 is 26.6% higher than the league average of 4.18 — 12th of 15 on his team, and 432nd of 538 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 4.55 FIP suggests he pitched better than his ERA shows. He missed bats on 20.5% of swings (9.7% of every pitch he threw), walked 8.3% of the batters he faced and struck out 17.7%. His 1.0 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026.

FIP4.55
K/96.9
WHIP1.37
WAR1.0

WAR by season

3.61.7-0.31920212223242526

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026PIT2222115.26801176889425.294.551.376.93.31271091.0
2025PIT3232176.1615017182150514.194.021.267.72.6101972.4
2024PIT3131178.01112018284166504.254.081.308.42.51041002.3
2023PIT3232194.1139018791210554.213.801.259.72.597883.6
2022PIT3129159.0512016269138603.913.881.407.83.498982.1
2021PIT2323100.251101316992496.174.301.798.24.41451011.2
2020PIT5521.21109716182.916.751.256.67.565151-0.3
2019PIT111148.0150723865167.133.191.8312.23.0158711.3

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2021PIT20323000214.107.167.107.000.2146.3%43.8%.136-4.9-26-0.0
2019PIT911000003.000.000.000.000.0000.0%27.3%.000-3.0-119-0.1

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB32129084112352.290.352.486.36616.2%
vs RHB1821613341937.205.297.317.28320.3%

Pitch sequencing

What Mitch Keller throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
Four-seamSinkerSweeperSliderCurveballChangeupCutter

Select a count to see exactly what Mitch Keller throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Four-Seam Fastball32.0%60393.32,36448.9%16.9%128.234.630
Sinker17.1%32292.32,37445.0%14.7%79.367.969
Sweeper16.0%30282.02,69740.7%24.0%91.209.754
Slider9.5%18087.22,52440.6%21.5%47.234.650
Curveball9.1%17177.82,64840.4%36.5%31.161.620
Changeup9.0%16988.71,53940.8%25.6%44.295.773
Cutter7.4%14089.72,48844.3%20.5%31.3231.013
Mitch Keller's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

Head to head

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Mitch Keller

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.