DataBaseball
2026
Zach McKinstry headshot

Players · M · RF · 2026

Zach McKinstry

Age
31
B/T
L/R
Height
5' 11"
Weight
180 lb
Number
#39
Born
April 29, 1995 in Toledo, OH, United States
MLB debut
September 16, 2020
Drafted
2016, round 33
College
Central Michigan
High school
North Side
Salary, 2026
$4.2M
dbWAR
3.7
11 season(s)
PA
418
AVG
.201
OBP
.287
SLG
.296
wRC+
66
100 = avg

Zach McKinstry is a right fielder for the Detroit Tigers. So far in 2026 he has hit 4 home runs and knocked in 26 RBIs, notching 74 hits across 418 plate appearances in 123 games. His batting average is .201, 17.6% lower than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .287 clip and slugged .296, for an OPS of .583, 18.9% lower than the league mark of .719 — 16th of 18 on his team, and 413th of 462 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 85.1 mph off the bat, hit 22.7% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 1.6% of them and made contact on 83.1% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 66 wRC+ puts his offence 34% below average. That comes to -0.5 dbWAR — -17.4 runs with the bat, +0.5 for the ballpark, -2.0 on the bases, +0.1 on double plays, +1.2 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+66
wOBA.268
ISO.095
BB%10.0%
WAR-.5

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to -4.7 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting-17.4Ballpark+0.5Baserunning-2.0Double plays+0.1Position+1.2Replacement+12.8
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

3.01.2-0.520212223242526

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026DET1234187442634268.201.287.296.095.23510.0%16.3%.268-17.466-0.5
2025DET14251111712491946111.259.333.438.179.3149.0%21.7%.334+8.11113.0
2024DET11332564423162469.215.277.337.121.2657.4%21.2%.272-10.6720.7
2023DET1455181079351644113.231.302.351.121.2848.5%21.8%.291-12.6780.6
2022CHC/LAD541853351471652.199.273.361.163.2578.6%28.1%.282-4.5810.6
2021LAD571723472911050.215.263.405.190.2625.8%29.1%.284-4.878-0.1
2020LAD47200003.286.286.429.143.5000.0%42.9%.304-0.188-0.0

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026DET202.0000340518.0018.604.000.022.5431445-0.3
2025DET100.100000000.003.140.000.00.00750.0
2024DET302.000012019.0011.171.000.04.5221274-0.2
2023DET101.0000320018.0016.263.000.00.0416375-0.1

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP8675110815.147.238.160.19917.4%
vs RHP3322936343453.215.299.331.28616.0%
Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB651110.200.333.800.4580.0%
vs RHB942040.500.778.500.6040.0%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 305 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 304 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
1.6%
5 barrels
Exit velocity
85.1
mph average
Max exit velo
106.0
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
22.7%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
39.0%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
14.1°
average
Barrel rate1.6%
Exit velocity85.1 mph
Hard hit rate22.7%
Contact rate83.1%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.167.091.067.195.19021 AB.29224 AB.15819 AB.15233 AB.17352 AB.34529 AB.20539 AB.20035 AB.33324 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Zach McKinstry hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations418——————.201.287.296.268
Bases empty24622249122141.221.294.324.281
Runner on first86751438912.187.282.320.272
Runners on172146253242127.171.276.253.249
RISP8671110161215.155.271.183.226

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Pitch sequencing

What Zach McKinstry throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
FastballEephus

Select a count to see exactly what Zach McKinstry throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Fastball55.9%3347.31,22733.3%25.0%4——
Eephus40.7%2437.594825.0%14.3%5——
Zach McKinstry's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

Head to head

Put Zach McKinstry beside up to three others.

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Zach McKinstry

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.