DataBaseball
2026
Chris Paddack headshot

Players · P · Pitcher · 2026

Chris Paddack

Age
30
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 5"
Weight
217 lb
Number
#40
Born
January 8, 1996 in Austin, TX, United States
MLB debut
March 31, 2019
Drafted
2015, round 8
High school
Cedar Park
Salary, 2026
$4M
dbWAR
6.6
10 season(s)
IP
57.0
ERA
6.79
FIP
4.86
K/9
6.3
FIP−
116
100 = avg

Chris Paddack is a starting pitcher for the Miami Marlins. In 2026 he struck out 40 batters over 57.0 innings across 14 appearances, 9 of them starts, going 0-7. His ERA of 6.79 is 62.5% higher than the league average of 4.18 — the worst on his team, and 522nd of 538 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 4.86 FIP suggests he pitched better than his ERA shows. He missed bats on 21.3% of swings (10.6% of every pitch he threw), walked 7.1% of the batters he faced and struck out 15.0%. His 0.1 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026.

FIP4.86
K/96.3
WHIP1.67
WAR.1

WAR by season

2.41.20.01920212223242526

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026MIA/CIN/TEX14957.0070764340196.794.861.676.33.01631160.1
2025MIN/DET3328158.0512116694112375.355.031.286.42.11291210.3
2024MIN171788.15301024979214.994.191.398.02.11221031.0
2023MIN305.010063815.403.261.4014.41.8125750.1
2022MIN5522.112025102024.031.721.218.10.8102430.9
2021SD2322108.17701156199225.073.781.268.21.8119891.9
2020SD121259.0450603158124.735.021.228.81.81061130.4
2019SD2626140.297010752153313.333.950.989.82.074882.4

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2021SD22421000126.029.081.029.000.1112.4%61.9%.064-8.9-78-0.2
2019SD24465020019.119.119.119.000.2170.0%41.3%.104-8.6-51-0.1

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB1581424741320.331.391.472.38212.7%
vs RHB109100295620.290.330.500.35618.3%

Pitch sequencing

What Chris Paddack throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
Four-seamChangeupCutterCurveballSweeperSinker

Select a count to see exactly what Chris Paddack throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Four-Seam Fastball34.5%35092.92,20952.0%16.4%71.380.958
Changeup27.2%27684.81,68634.8%27.5%89.270.664
Cutter13.1%13386.42,01646.6%23.4%25.2801.047
Curveball11.3%11576.92,14340.9%23.8%21.3331.058
Sweeper7.7%7879.32,32039.7%25.0%18.222.667
Sinker6.1%6292.92,08946.8%10.0%18.389.950
Chris Paddack's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

Head to head

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Chris Paddack

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.