DataBaseball
2026
Luke Raley headshot

RF · 2026

Luke Raley

Age
32
B/T
L/R
Height
6' 3"
Weight
235 lb
Number
#20
Born
September 19, 1994 in Hinckley, OH, USA
MLB debut
April 9, 2021
Drafted
2016, round 7
College
Lake Erie College
Salary, 2026
$2.05M
dbWAR
2.4
3 season(s)
PA
287
AVG
.225
OBP
.284
SLG
.439
wRC+
99
100 = avg

Luke Raley is a right fielder for the Seattle Mariners. In 2026 he hit 15 home runs and knocked in 39 RBIs, notching 59 hits across 287 plate appearances in 92 games. His batting average was .225, 7.6% lower than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .284 clip and slugged .439, for an OPS of .723, 0.5% higher than the league mark of .719 — 6th of 15 on his team, and 179th of 417 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 89.2 mph off the bat, hit 47.1% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 59.1% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 99 wRC+ puts his offence 1% below average. That comes to 0.4 dbWAR — -1.3 runs with the bat, -0.9 on the bases, -3.4 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+99
wOBA.313
ISO.214
BB%5.2%
WAR.4

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These four terms sum to +4.0 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting-1.3Baserunning-0.9Position-3.4Replacement+9.6
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

2.11.0-0.0242526

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP27254008.160.192.200.18029.6%
vs RHP26023755151585.232.293.464.32632.7%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 172 batted balls…

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.000.031.095.35317 AB.31822 AB.40010 AB.25016 AB.41724 AB.20025 AB.13023 AB.37929 AB.23821 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Luke Raley hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations287.225.284.439.313
Bases empty1521393466943.245.309.432.323
Runner on first68611236327.197.269.361.281
Runners on13512325933650.203.256.447.302
RISP676213627323.210.242.532.322

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
20269228759153911593.225.284.439.214.2845.2%32.4%.313-1.3990.4
2025692193741921964.202.319.311.109.2848.7%29.2%.294-3.890-0.0
20241344559822581127135.243.320.463.220.3055.9%29.7%.341+10.71282.1

Head to head

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Luke Raley

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.