DataBaseball
2026
Paul Skenes headshot

Pitcher · 2026

Paul Skenes

Age
24
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 6"
Weight
260 lb
Number
#30
Born
May 29, 2002 in Fullerton, CA, USA
MLB debut
May 11, 2024
Drafted
2023, round 1
College
Louisiana State
High school
El Toro
dbWAR
12.7
3 season(s)
IP
129.2
ERA
3.96
FIP
2.91
K/9
11.2
FIP−
70
100 = avg

Paul Skenes is a starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates. In 2026 he struck out 162 batters over 129.2 innings across 24 appearances, 24 of them starts, going 9-10. His ERA of 3.96 was 5.3% lower than the league average of 4.18 — 6th of 14 on his team, and 242nd of 467 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 2.91 FIP suggests he pitched better than his ERA shows. He missed bats on 28.9% of swings (14.8% of every pitch he threw), walked 6.8% of the batters he faced and struck out 30.5%. His 3.1 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026.

FIP2.91
K/911.2
WHIP1.12
WAR3.1

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB3182866272592.217.285.371.29128.9%
vs RHB2151974761170.239.293.376.29632.6%

Pitch sequencing

What Paul Skenes throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
Four-seamSweeperChangeupSplitterSinkerSliderCurveball

Select a count to see exactly what Paul Skenes throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, and how often it misses in 2026.

Four-Seam Fastball41.0%90696.92,17554.9%30.5%
Sweeper15.9%35284.32,34351.1%30.3%
Changeup13.9%30888.71,84138.3%38.1%
Splitter10.7%23793.41,64544.7%18.5%
Sinker10.5%23296.72,16047.0%9.2%
Slider7.4%16386.72,31552.1%38.9%
Curveball0.5%1081.82,42240.0%20.0%
Paul Skenes's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters.

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
20262424129.2910010957162363.962.911.1211.22.595703.1
20253232187.21010013641216421.972.360.9510.42.047575.7
20242323133.011309429170321.962.440.9511.52.248603.8

Head to head

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Paul Skenes

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.