Players · B · Pitcher · 2026

Chase Burns

Age: 23
B/T: R/R
Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 210 lb
Number: #26

Born: January 16, 2003 in Naples, Italy
MLB debut: June 24, 2025
Drafted: 2021, round 20
College: Wake Forest
High school: Beech
Salary, 2026: $785,000

dbWAR: 4.6
IP: 154.1
ERA: 2.86
FIP: 3.24
K/9: 10.8
FIP−: 78

Chase Burns is a starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. In 2026 he struck out 185 batters over 154.1 innings across 29 appearances, 29 of them starts, going 15-3. His ERA of 2.86 is 31.6% lower than the league average of 4.18 — the second best on his team, and 76th of 538 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 3.24 FIP suggests that his ERA had some help behind him. He missed bats on 32.0% of swings (15.6% of every pitch he threw), walked 8.9% of the batters he faced and struck out 29.4%. His 3.5 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026.

FIP3.24

K/910.8

WHIP1.17

WAR3.5

WAR by season

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

																				Trend
2026	CIN	29	29	154.1	15	3	0	124	49	185	56	2.86	3.24	1.17	10.8	3.3	68	78	3.5
2025	CIN	13	8	43.1	0	3	0	41	22	67	16	4.57	2.65	1.32	13.9	3.3	110	64	1.2

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Season

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
Split	PA	AB	H	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	K%
vs LHB	400	351	82	14	45	116	.234	.321	.413	.326	29.0%
vs RHB	230	219	42	3	11	69	.192	.230	.274	.227	30.0%

Pitch sequencing

What Chase Burns throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

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Four-seamSliderChangeupSinker

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Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Season


Four-Seam Fastball	55.4%	1,422	97.6	2,633	49.4%	17.1%	295	.254	.765
Slider	38.9%	1,000	90.2	2,774	48.5%	51.9%	253	.154	.440
Changeup	5.2%	134	90.2	1,831	30.6%	38.8%	21	.476	1.452
Sinker	0.5%	12	97.1	2,520	33.3%	0.0%	1	—	—

Chase Burns's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

Head to head

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Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

Max MeyerMIA

ERA: 2.68
FIP: 3.51
SO: 121
WAR: 2.2

Very close

Cade CavalliWSH

ERA: 3.02
FIP: 3.26
SO: 200
WAR: 4.1

Very close

Zack WheelerPHI

ERA: 3.06
FIP: 3.34
SO: 188
WAR: 3.6

Very close

Nolan McLeanNYM

ERA: 3.16
FIP: 3.59
SO: 194
WAR: 3.4

Very close

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.