DataBaseball
2026
Connelly Early headshot

Players · E · Pitcher · 2026 regular season

Connelly Early

Age
24
B/T
L/L
Height
6' 3"
Weight
195 lb
Number
#19
Born
April 3, 2002 in Midlothian, VA, United States
MLB debut
September 9, 2025
Drafted
2023, round 5
College
Virginia

Compare with…vs Bryce Millervs Robert Gasservs Jackson Jobe

dbWAR
1.8
Regular season, 2 season(s)
IP
94.2
ERA
3.33
FIP
4.54
K/9
8.9
FIP−
109
100 = avg

Connelly Early is a starting pitcher for the Boston Red Sox. In 2026 he struck out 94 batters over 94.2 innings across 18 appearances, 18 of them starts, going 7-5. His ERA of 3.33 was 20.4% lower than the league average of 4.18 — 11th of 19 on his team, and 138th of 539 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 4.54 FIP suggests that his ERA had some help behind him. He missed bats on 23.5% of swings (11.0% of every pitch he threw), walked 8.5% of the batters he faced and struck out 23.5%. His 0.8 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026 regular season.

FIP4.54
K/98.9
WHIP1.23
WAR.8

WAR by season

1.00.50.02526

Pitching Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only — postseason games are listed separately below.

Trend
2026BOS/WSH181894.2750823594343.334.541.238.93.2801090.8
2025BOS4419.11201752942.330.911.0913.51.956221.0

Separate from the regular season

Postseason Postseason

Wild Card through World Series. These games are counted on their own: none of them are in the regular-season tables, career totals, league context, leaderboards or dbWAR on this page.

Postseason pitching

Postseason Connelly Early's postseason pitching, by October and round. Not part of any regular-season figure on this page.
SeasonTeamRoundGGSIPWLSVHERHRBBSOERAWHIPK/9
2025 PostBOSWild Card113.2010630167.361.9114.7

Box-score and rate statistics only. wOBA, wRC+, FIP and dbWAR are measured against a full league season, and a postseason is a few teams playing each other for a month, so they are not computed for October.

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB111102204630.196.252.333.26127.0%
vs RHB28925262112864.246.337.417.33722.1%

Pitch sequencing

What Connelly Early throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
Four-seamSinkerChangeupCurveballSweeperSlider

Select a count to see exactly what Connelly Early throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Four-Seam Fastball35.0%54694.02,33553.7%23.9%107.215.743
Sinker20.1%31492.42,16445.5%13.0%65.277.728
Changeup18.2%28483.71,27037.0%22.5%82.268.688
Curveball10.8%16980.02,40147.3%21.4%32.2811.004
Sweeper8.0%12582.52,40846.4%41.3%43.116.286
Slider7.9%12487.12,30148.4%28.6%25.200.853
Connelly Early's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

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Connelly Early

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.