DataBaseball
2026
Jarren Duran headshot

Players · D · LF · 2026

Jarren Duran

Age
30
B/T
L/R
Height
6' 0"
Weight
205 lb
Number
#16
Born
September 5, 1996 in Corona, CA, United States
MLB debut
July 17, 2021
Drafted
2018, round 7
College
Long Beach State
Salary, 2026
$7.7M
dbWAR
12.0
6 season(s)
PA
606
AVG
.208
OBP
.267
SLG
.362
wRC+
69
100 = avg

Jarren Duran is a left fielder for the Boston Red Sox. So far in 2026 he has hit 20 home runs and knocked in 69 RBIs, notching 114 hits across 606 plate appearances in 150 games. His batting average is .208, 14.9% lower than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .267 clip and slugged .362, for an OPS of .629, 12.4% lower than the league mark of .719 — 13th of 16 on his team, and 361st of 462 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 88.5 mph off the bat, hit 40.2% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 9.0% of them and made contact on 66.5% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 69 wRC+ puts his offence 31% below average. That comes to -0.4 dbWAR — -21.2 runs with the bat, -0.5 for the ballpark, +1.9 on the bases, +1.8 on double plays, -4.6 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+69
wOBA.276
ISO.155
BB%6.8%
WAR-.4

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to -3.8 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting-21.2Ballpark-0.5Baserunning+1.9Double plays+1.8Position-4.6Replacement+18.7
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

5.92.7-0.4212223242526

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026BOS15060611420692141165.208.267.362.155.2536.8%27.2%.276-21.269-0.4
2025BOS15769615916842460169.256.332.442.185.3268.6%24.3%.337+12.41153.4
2024BOS16073519121753454160.285.342.492.207.3457.3%21.8%.359+28.11315.9
2023BOS10036298840242490.295.346.482.187.3816.6%24.9%.356+11.01202.8
2022BOS572234531771463.221.283.363.142.3026.3%28.3%.286-4.7790.6
2021BOS32112232102440.215.241.336.121.3183.6%35.7%.249-6.449-0.2

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP1401262921134.230.295.317.27824.3%
vs RHP466423851830131.201.259.376.27528.1%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 394 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 391 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
9.0%
35 barrels
Exit velocity
88.5
mph average
Max exit velo
114.7
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
40.2%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
32.7%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
12.1°
average
Barrel rate9.0%
Exit velocity88.5 mph
Hard hit rate40.2%
Contact rate66.5%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.042.135.138.038.12516 AB.27037 AB.39328 AB.26952 AB.26453 AB.31145 AB.19147 AB.24773 AB.20824 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Jarren Duran hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations606——————.208.267.362.276
Bases empty34732167992395.209.268.343.273
Runner on first1061021837433.176.208.275.215
Runners on2592284711601870.206.266.390.280
RISP153126298531437.230.307.484.327

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Head to head

Put Jarren Duran beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Jarren Duran

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.