DataBaseball
2026
Connor Norby headshot

Players · N · 1B · 2026 regular season

Connor Norby

Miami MarlinsNational League East1B
Age
26
B/T
R/R
Height
5' 10"
Weight
180 lb
Number
#35
Born
June 8, 2000 in Brooklyn Park, MN, United States
MLB debut
June 3, 2024
Drafted
2021, round 2
College
East Carolina
High school
East Forsyth

Compare with…vs Garrett Mitchellvs Dane Myersvs Roman Anthony

dbWAR
3.2
Regular season, 3 season(s)
PA
383
AVG
.243
OBP
.342
SLG
.377
wRC+
108
100 = avg

Connor Norby is a first baseman for the Miami Marlins. In 2026 he hit 7 home runs and knocked in 34 RBIs, notching 80 hits across 383 plate appearances in 104 games. His batting average was .243, level with the league average of .244. He reached base at a .342 clip and slugged .377, for an OPS of .719, level with the league mark of .719 — 8th of 16 on his team, and 201st of 465 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 87.4 mph off the bat, hit 36.3% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 6.7% of them and made contact on 71.0% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 108 wRC+ puts his offence 8% above average. That comes to 1.3 dbWAR — +2.4 runs with the bat, +0.6 for the ballpark, +0.2 on the bases, -0.2 on double plays, -2.1 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026 regular season.

wRC+108
wOBA.326
ISO.134
BB%10.4%
WAR1.3

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +12.7 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting+2.4Ballpark+0.6Baserunning+0.2Double plays-0.2Position-2.1Replacement+11.8
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

1.30.70.0242526

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only.

Trend
2026MIA/COL104383807341040108.243.342.377.134.33610.4%28.2%.326+2.41081.3
2025MIA873377883481890.251.300.389.138.3245.3%26.7%.302-3.7951.1
2024MIA/BAL451944292031564.236.294.438.202.3117.7%33.0%.317+0.8950.7

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP1361102712033.245.382.364.34624.3%
vs RHP2472195362075.242.320.384.31530.4%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 224 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 223 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
6.7%
15 barrels
Exit velocity
87.4
mph average
Max exit velo
106.9
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
36.3%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
36.8%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
18.8°
average
Barrel rate6.7%
Exit velocity87.4 mph
Hard hit rate36.3%
Contact rate71.0%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.125.063.000.031.21414 AB.15632 AB.15819 AB.44427 AB.43237 AB.38234 AB.38513 AB.34943 AB.10728 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Connor Norby hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations383——————.243.342.377.326
Bases empty20918742551858.225.306.369.304
Runner on first83751603531.213.289.320.278
Runners on174142382292250.268.385.387.352
RISP9167222261719.328.473.463.421

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

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Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

Dane MyersCIN
wRC+
107
HR
8
AVG
.253
WAR
1.7
Very close
Roman AnthonyBOS
wRC+
106
HR
5
AVG
.245
WAR
0.8
Close
Christian YelichMIL
wRC+
92
HR
12
AVG
.235
WAR
0.3
Close
Willi CastroCOL
wRC+
105
HR
15
AVG
.260
WAR
2.4
Close
How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.