DataBaseball
2026
Nathaniel Lowe headshot

DH · 2026

Nathaniel Lowe

Age
31
B/T
L/R
Height
6' 4"
Weight
220 lb
Number
#46
Born
July 7, 1995 in Norfolk, VA, USA
MLB debut
April 29, 2019
Drafted
2016, round 13
College
Mississippi State
High school
Pope
dbWAR
3.2
3 season(s)
PA
292
AVG
.267
OBP
.339
SLG
.485
wRC+
128
100 = avg

Nathaniel Lowe is a designated hitter for the Cincinnati Reds. In 2026 he hit 13 home runs and knocked in 43 RBIs, notching 70 hits across 292 plate appearances in 85 games. His batting average was .267, 9.6% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .339 clip and slugged .485, for an OPS of .824, 14.5% higher than the league mark of .719 — the second best on his team, and 47th of 417 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 89.4 mph off the bat, hit 44.0% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 77.9% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 128 wRC+ puts his offence 28% above average. That comes to 1.1 dbWAR — +9.4 runs with the bat, -0.4 on the bases, -7.6 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+128
wOBA.357
ISO.218
BB%9.9%
WAR1.1

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These four terms sum to +11.1 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting+9.4Baserunning-0.4Position-7.6Replacement+9.7
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

2.01.00.0242526

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP27262016.077.111.077.09322.2%
vs RHP26523668132868.288.362.530.38425.7%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 188 batted balls…

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.000.200.158.107.25016 AB.29224 AB.12516 AB.41217 AB.40632 AB.42921 AB.2508 AB.40030 AB.19021 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Nathaniel Lowe hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations292.267.339.485.357
Bases empty16314931881449.208.276.423.305
Runner on first59531724613.321.390.509.394
Runners on129113395351525.345.419.566.423
RISP706022331912.367.443.617.449

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
20268529270134302974.267.339.485.218.3249.9%25.3%.357+9.41281.1
20251526091231884162159.228.307.381.154.28510.2%26.1%.304-5.8920.1
20241405651291669271125.265.361.401.136.32412.6%22.1%.340+13.21262.0

Head to head

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Nathaniel Lowe

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.