DataBaseball
2026
Otto Lopez headshot

Players · L · SS · 2026 regular season

Otto Lopez

Age
28
B/T
R/R
Height
5' 10"
Weight
185 lb
Number
#6
Born
October 1, 1998 in Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
MLB debut
August 17, 2021

Compare with…vs Pete Crow-Armstrongvs Liam Hicksvs Jake McCarthy

dbWAR
8.9
Regular season, 5 season(s)
PA
687
AVG
.305
OBP
.349
SLG
.437
wRC+
121
100 = avg

Otto Lopez is a shortstop for the Miami Marlins. In 2026 he hit 11 home runs and knocked in 71 RBIs, notching 191 hits across 687 plate appearances in 157 games. His batting average was .305, 24.8% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .349 clip and slugged .437, for an OPS of .786, 9.4% higher than the league mark of .719 — 5th of 16 on his team, and 95th of 465 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 88.6 mph off the bat, hit 41.0% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 5.5% of them and made contact on 80.4% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 121 wRC+ puts his offence 21% above average. That comes to 5.3 dbWAR — +14.8 runs with the bat, +1.0 for the ballpark, +3.7 on the bases, -0.2 on double plays, +10.2 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026 regular season.

wRC+121
wOBA.345
ISO.132
BB%5.8%
WAR5.3

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +50.7 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting+14.8Ballpark+1.0Baserunning+3.7Double plays-0.2Position+10.2Replacement+21.3
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

5.32.6-0.02122242526

Batting Regular season

Standard and advanced, by season. Regular-season games only.

Trend
2026MIA1576871911171344089.305.349.437.132.3355.8%13.0%.345+14.81215.3
2025MIA1425941341577154482.246.305.368.121.2647.4%13.8%.297-8.9912.0
2024MIA114434109639202575.270.313.377.107.3185.8%17.3%.304-2.9871.4
2022TOR310603011.667.700.667.000.75010.0%10.0%.600+2.33060.3
2021TOR11000001.000.000.000.000—0.0%100.0%.000-0.3-116-0.0

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP172159543722.340.355.497.36412.8%
vs RHP51546813783367.293.348.417.33813.0%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 547 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 546 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
5.5%
30 barrels
Exit velocity
88.6
mph average
Max exit velo
112.8
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
41.0%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
31.8%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
7.9°
average
Barrel rate5.5%
Exit velocity88.6 mph
Hard hit rate41.0%
Contact rate80.4%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.323.129.182.281.25032 AB.31947 AB.43832 AB.33354 AB.39576 AB.30253 AB.35334 AB.29358 AB.26261 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Otto Lopez hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations687——————.305.349.437.345
Bases empty388360104662454.289.340.425.338
Runner on first147132462101219.348.415.477.397
Runners on299267875651635.326.361.453.354
RISP15213541355416.304.309.430.312

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

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Otto Lopez

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.