DataBaseball
2026
Luke Keaschall headshot

Players · K · 2B · 2026

Luke Keaschall

Age
24
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 0"
Weight
190 lb
Number
#15
Born
August 15, 2002 in Watsonville, CA, United States
MLB debut
April 18, 2025
Drafted
2023, round 2
College
Arizona State
dbWAR
5.4
2 season(s)
PA
611
AVG
.281
OBP
.369
SLG
.402
wRC+
122
100 = avg

Luke Keaschall is a second baseman for the Minnesota Twins. So far in 2026 he has hit 10 home runs and knocked in 52 RBIs, notching 147 hits across 611 plate appearances in 150 games. His batting average is .281, 15.2% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .369 clip and slugged .402, for an OPS of .771, 7.3% higher than the league mark of .719 — 4th of 14 on his team, and 110th of 462 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 84.8 mph off the bat, hit 29.1% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 3.8% of them and made contact on 83.0% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 122 wRC+ puts his offence 22% above average. That comes to 3.6 dbWAR — +14.4 runs with the bat, +0.6 for the ballpark, +0.1 on the bases, -0.7 on double plays, +1.5 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+122
wOBA.347
ISO.120
BB%9.2%
WAR3.6

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to +34.8 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting+14.4Ballpark+0.6Baserunning+0.1Double plays-0.7Position+1.5Replacement+18.9
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

3.61.80.02526

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026MIN1506111471052205687.281.369.402.120.3169.2%14.2%.347+14.41223.6
2025MIN4920755428141929.302.382.445.143.3409.2%14.0%.366+8.81311.8

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP1971734921831.283.357.376.32915.7%
vs RHP4143509883856.280.375.414.35513.5%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 445 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 444 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
3.8%
17 barrels
Exit velocity
84.8
mph average
Max exit velo
107.3
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
29.1%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
37.6%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
17.6°
average
Barrel rate3.8%
Exit velocity84.8 mph
Hard hit rate29.1%
Contact rate83.0%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.190.226.133.115.36838 AB.25032 AB.35531 AB.18937 AB.30173 AB.35368 AB.28621 AB.34749 AB.37046 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Luke Keaschall hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations611——————.281.369.402.347
Bases empty36432388892860.272.354.402.341
Runner on first1079325291012.269.364.419.353
Runners on247200592432827.295.392.400.356
RISP140107340341815.318.413.383.358

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Head to head

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Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.