DataBaseball
2026
Graham Pauley headshot

Players · P · 3B · 2026

Graham Pauley

Age
26
B/T
L/R
Height
6' 1"
Weight
200 lb
Number
#21
Born
September 24, 2000 in Alpharetta, GA, United States
MLB debut
March 20, 2024
Drafted
2022, round 13
College
Duke
High school
Milton
dbWAR
.3
3 season(s)
PA
150
AVG
.210
OBP
.257
SLG
.377
wRC+
73
100 = avg

Graham Pauley is a third baseman for the Miami Marlins. So far in 2026 he has hit 4 home runs and knocked in 25 RBIs, notching 29 hits across 150 plate appearances in 52 games. His batting average is .210, 13.8% lower than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .257 clip and slugged .377, for an OPS of .634, 11.8% lower than the league mark of .719 — 14th of 16 on his team, and 354th of 462 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 84.4 mph off the bat, hit 26.2% of balls in play at 95 mph or better, barrelled 6.8% of them and made contact on 77.1% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 73 wRC+ puts his offence 27% below average. That comes to -0.0 dbWAR — -5.1 runs with the bat, +0.2 for the ballpark, -0.4 on the bases, -0.1 on double plays, +0.5 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+73
wOBA.277
ISO.167
BB%5.3%
WAR-.0

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These terms sum to -0.3 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR. There is no fielding term.

Batting-5.1Ballpark+0.2Baserunning-0.4Double plays-0.1Position+0.5Replacement+4.6
BattingBallparkBaserunningDouble playsPositionReplacement

WAR by season

0.70.2-0.3242526

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026MIA52150294251837.210.257.377.167.2555.3%24.7%.277-5.173-0.0
2025MIA571843641122136.224.311.366.143.26211.4%19.6%.303-1.8960.7
2024SD13324250015.125.125.313.188.1330.0%46.9%.183-3.49-0.3

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP1081003.125.125.125.11230.0%
vs RHP140130284834.215.264.392.28624.3%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 102 batted balls…

Contact quality

How hard and at what angle he hits it, over 103 tracked batted balls in 2026. Percentiles are against qualified batters.

Barrel rate
6.8%
7 barrels
Exit velocity
84.4
mph average
Max exit velo
107.9
mph, hardest hit
Hard hit
26.2%
95 mph or better
Sweet spot
35.9%
8–32° launch
Launch angle
17.9°
average
Barrel rate6.8%
Exit velocity84.4 mph
Hard hit rate26.2%
Contact rate77.1%

A barrel is a batted ball whose exit velocity and launch angle have historically produced at least a .500 average and 1.500 slugging — 98 mph within 26–30°, widening to 8–50° by 116 mph. Reconstructed from Statcast's published anchor points, which reproduces them exactly; the interior is within a degree. Sweet spot (8–32°) is an exact definition.

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

——.182.067.1119 AB—6 AB—6 AB.50012 AB.23517 AB.1258 AB.07114 AB.25016 AB—4 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Situational hitting

How Graham Pauley hits by base state, outs, score and late-game pressure — each read against his own season line.

Split by
By who is on base when he comes up. The season line is repeated as the baseline.
SituationPAABHHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBA
All situations150——————.210.257.377.277
Bases empty75681200621.176.253.221.225
Runner on first3735625111.171.194.400.252
Runners on757017425216.243.260.529.330
RISP38351122015.314.324.657.406

Runners on includes runners in scoring position, which is the convention every reference uses. Counted from play-by-play, 2026.

Head to head

Put Graham Pauley beside up to three others.

Compare — add up to 3 more players
Graham Pauley

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.