DataBaseball
2026
Aaron Nola headshot

Players · N · Pitcher · 2026

Aaron Nola

Age
33
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 2"
Weight
200 lb
Number
#27
Born
June 4, 1993 in Baton Rouge, LA, United States
MLB debut
July 21, 2015
Drafted
2011, round 22
College
Louisiana State
High school
Catholic
Salary, 2026
$24.6M
dbWAR
36.0
18 season(s)
IP
174.1
ERA
4.54
FIP
4.81
K/9
9.1
FIP−
115
100 = avg

Aaron Nola is a starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies. In 2026 he struck out 177 batters over 174.1 innings across 32 appearances, 32 of them starts, going 7-11. His ERA of 4.54 is 8.7% higher than the league average of 4.18 — 9th of 17 on his team, and 350th of 538 among MLB pitchers with 20+ innings. Stripping out defence, his 4.81 FIP suggests the ERA was no fluke. He missed bats on 27.3% of swings (12.6% of every pitch he threw), walked 8.0% of the batters he faced and struck out 24.0%. His 1.1 dbWAR is built from that FIP rather than runs allowed, so it credits him for what he controls and not for the defence behind him.

League context

Percentile among qualified pitchers, 2026.

FIP4.81
K/99.1
WHIP1.33
WAR1.1

WAR by season

6.03.00.0151617181920212223242526

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026PHI3232174.1711017388177594.544.811.339.13.01091151.1
2025PHI171794.15100996397286.014.581.359.32.71451100.8
2024PHI3333199.1148018979197503.573.941.208.92.387972.7
2023PHI3232193.2129017896202454.464.031.159.42.1103933.0
2022PHI3232205.01113016874235293.252.580.9610.31.382656.0
2021PHI3232180.299016593223394.633.371.1311.11.9109794.1
2020PHI121271.1550542696233.283.191.0812.12.974721.9
2019PHI3434202.1127017687229803.874.031.2710.23.686903.6
2018PHI3333212.1176014956224582.373.010.979.52.557735.4
2017PHI2727168.01211015466184493.543.271.219.92.681754.2
2016PHI2020111.069011659121294.783.081.319.82.4114742.6
2015PHI131377.2620743168193.594.031.207.92.2911020.9

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2021PHI31637040629.143.232.184.041.3339.5%46.0%.201-6.2190.4
2019PHI32707020635.119.200.153.034.2928.6%50.0%.170-9.1-40.1
2018PHI32703040136.048.063.065.016.1151.4%51.4%.059-14.7-78-0.5
2017PHI25544010425.083.154.083.000.1747.4%46.3%.122-9.1-38-0.0
2016PHI18351000317.033.147.067.033.0778.6%48.6%.120-5.6-38-0.1
2015PHI13262010116.087.125.087.000.2863.8%61.5%.103-4.4-50-0.1

Platoon splits

How left- and right-handed hitters fare against him.

Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB454399992250101.248.330.459.34422.2%
vs RHB2832707414976.274.299.493.34026.9%

Pitch sequencing

What Aaron Nola throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
Knuckle curveFour-seamSinkerChangeupCutterSlider

Select a count to see exactly what Aaron Nola throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, how often it misses, and what hitters do with it.

Knuckle Curve33.2%97278.42,62853.1%41.4%247.174.547
Four-Seam Fastball23.9%69992.32,35448.2%14.3%132.3181.022
Sinker18.2%53191.62,27142.0%12.3%138.3331.053
Changeup16.4%47985.61,55835.9%25.8%98.194.513
Cutter7.6%22386.22,29945.7%25.6%49.4291.104
Slider0.7%2183.22,31252.4%26.7%7——
Aaron Nola's arsenal by usage. Velocity is average release speed in mph, spin in rpm, and whiff rate is misses per swing — the cleanest single measure of whether a pitch beats hitters. BAA and OPS are what hitters did against each pitch, credited to the one that ended the plate appearance, and are left blank under 15 at-bats.

Head to head

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Aaron Nola

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by command, run prevention and role, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.