DataBaseball
2026
Carson Kelly headshot

C · 2026

Carson Kelly

Age
32
B/T
R/R
Height
6' 1"
Weight
212 lb
Number
#15
Born
July 14, 1994 in Chicago, IL, USA
MLB debut
September 5, 2016
Drafted
2012, round 2
High school
Westview
Salary, 2026
$5M
dbWAR
5.8
4 season(s)
PA
311
AVG
.265
OBP
.350
SLG
.382
wRC+
109
100 = avg

Carson Kelly is a catcher for the Chicago Cubs. In 2026 he hit 7 home runs and knocked in 42 RBIs, notching 73 hits across 311 plate appearances in 84 games. His batting average was .265, 8.9% higher than the league average of .244. He reached base at a .350 clip and slugged .382, for an OPS of .732, 1.8% higher than the league mark of .719 — 8th of 13 on his team, and 160th of 417 among MLB batters with 100+ plate appearances. He averaged 87.3 mph off the bat, hit 36.8% of balls in play at 95 mph or better and made contact on 80.4% of his swings. Adjusted for his ballpark and league, his 109 wRC+ puts his offence 9% above average. That comes to 1.8 dbWAR — +3.4 runs with the bat, -0.9 on the bases, +5.3 for the position he plays, against replacement level. It includes no fielding: defensive runs are proprietary and are not estimated here, so the figure credits playing a demanding position but not playing it well.

League context

Percentile among qualified batters, 2026.

wRC+109
wOBA.331
ISO.116
BB%10.6%
WAR1.8

How the WAR is built

Runs above replacement, 2026. These four terms sum to +18.1 runs, divided by runs-per-win to give WAR.

Batting+3.4Baserunning-0.9Position+5.3Replacement+10.4
BattingBaserunningPositionReplacement

WAR by season

2.91.40.0242526

Platoon splits

How he hits left- and right-handed pitching.

Batting by the hand the pitcher throws with, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHP109943251518.340.431.564.43316.5%
vs RHP2021814121834.227.307.287.27716.8%
Opponent batting by the side the hitter bats from, 2026. Counted from play-by-play, so totals can differ from the box-score season line by a plate appearance or two.
SplitPAABHHRBBSOAVGOBPSLGwOBAK%
vs LHB110000.000.000.000.0000.0%
vs RHB442200.500.5002.0001.0070.0%

Spray chart

Where every ball he put in play landed, 2026.

Loading 223 batted balls…

Hot and cold zones

Batting average by pitch location, 2026.

.214.308.100.10519 AB.33324 AB.25020 AB.36025 AB.33336 AB.26926 AB.45511 AB.32331 AB.25020 AB
Below averageLeague averageAbove average
Batting average by location of the pitch that ended each plate appearance, catcher's view. The bordered square is the strike zone; the outer band is chase territory. Cells with fewer than 8 at-bats are left grey rather than shown as signal. League average on the same attribution is .243.

Pitch sequencing

What Carson Kelly throws in each count, and what he follows each pitch with. Select any cell for the breakdown.

ShowBatter
Fastball

Select a count to see exactly what Carson Kelly throws in it.

Pitch arsenal

What he throws, how hard, and how often it misses in 2026.

Batting

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026843117374203352.265.350.382.116.30610.6%16.7%.331+3.41091.8
202510942192175024580.249.333.428.179.27210.7%19.0%.334+6.61142.9
2024853136793702555.238.313.374.135.2668.0%17.6%.306-1.4961.4

Pitching

Standard and advanced, by season.

Trend
2026101.0000220018.0029.092.000.00.0431697-0.3

Head to head

Put Carson Kelly beside up to three others.

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Carson Kelly

Similar players

Nearest 2026 seasons by discipline, contact, power and speed, on rate statistics rather than totals.

How these are computed

wOBA uses linear weights measured from this season's own play-by-play rather than published constants, and wRC+ is park-adjusted against that same league. dbWAR is our own open implementation — not fWAR or bWAR — and the full derivation, including its simplifications, is on the methodology page.